Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:10:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3F
0x3f89…01ee
crypto · 126 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$23 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$23 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses122 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)126 / 126
History coverage48d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown37%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 126 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days+$20
14 days+$20
30 days+$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$16 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$8 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-6.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 +6.5% -3.6% 95% 15% -3.4%
≤30d 82 +5.5% -4.6% 96% 11% -4.1%
≤90d 126 +3.5% -6.3% 97% 7% -5.7%
all 126 +3.5% -6.3% 97% 7% -5.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.3% 7% -5.7%
10% -15.3% 3% -14.7%
15% -23.5% 2% -22.9%
20% -31.0% 2% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 340 history records