Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:52:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3F
0x3f7f…eb68
crypto · 1057 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$166 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$166 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$166
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses433 / 623
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1056 / 1057
History coverage59d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day57.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1056 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$50
7 days+$50
14 days+$14
30 days−$88
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 37¢ 36¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-6.5) Thunder 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Thunder 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$31 +249%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$11 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$15 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$17 +182%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $23 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$11 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 01 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 01 $2 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET May 31 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET May 31 $3 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET May 31 $5 −$3 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET May 31 $5 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 31 $11 −$7 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 31 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 31 $11 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 31 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 31 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -66%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$164
sports 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $44 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $21 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $13 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $11 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 +5.4% -4.7% 43% 32% +8.3%
≤30d 339 -6.9% -15.8% 43% 36% -13.1%
≤90d 1056 -5.9% -14.8% 41% 30% -13.9%
all 1056 -5.9% -14.8% 41% 30% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover57.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 30% -13.9%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 21% -22.1%
15% -30.4% 13% -29.6%
20% -37.2% 9% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.74 · official $8.49 · 3500 history records