Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:38:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3F
0x3f7c…a070
crypto · 417 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$196 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$181 · open −$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$181
Unrealized−$15
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses196 / 220
Open positions1
Markets (closed)416 / 417
History coverage11d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day45.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 416 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$126
7 days−$157
14 days−$181
30 days−$181
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 52¢ 8¢ $18 $3 −$15 (-84%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$19 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$17 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$7 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$22 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$13 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$9 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$18 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$22 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$11 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$8 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$14 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$6 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$7 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$196
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $19 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $19 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $23 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $12 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $9 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $15 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $11 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-16.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 313 -5.1% -14.1% 49% 49% -17.8%
≤30d 416 -7.7% -16.5% 47% 47% -17.4%
≤90d 416 -7.7% -16.5% 47% 47% -17.4%
all 416 -7.7% -16.5% 47% 47% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover45.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.5% 47% -17.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.5% 47% -25.3%
15% -31.8% 46% -32.5%
20% -38.5% 45% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.93 · official $9.13 · 714 history records