Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:40:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3F
0x3f75…ce35
sports · 255 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$650 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$606 · open +$31
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$108
Realized+$606
Unrealized+$31
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses176 / 75
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$49
Open positions4
Markets (closed)251 / 255
History coverage26d
Avg bet$71
Trades / day58.4
Drawdown34%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 4 History 251 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$52
7 days+$143
14 days+$257
30 days+$606
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Yes 11¢ $51 $85 +$34 (+66%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $20 $23 +$3 (+13%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner WLGaming Esports 12¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 31¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $363 +$19 +5%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $45 +$1 +1%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5) Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? Jun 11 $735 +$13 +2%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $200 +$35 +18%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $455 +$24 +5%
Spread: Algeria (-1.5) Jun 11 $9 $0 +5%
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-08? Jun 11 $1 +$1 +64%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $7 −$4 -64%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-27? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
CA Rosario Central vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Spain vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $9 −$8 -82%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5) Jun 11 $15 −$5 -37%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $19 −$19 -100%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $15 −$15 -99%
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12? Jun 11 $381 +$3 +1%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? Jun 11 $48 −$25 -52%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $16 +$4 +22%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10? Jun 11 $511 +$18 +4%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 11 $91 +$9 +10%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $157 +$8 +5%
Israel closes its airspace by June 11? Jun 11 $68 −$2 -3%
Israel closes its airspace by June 10? Jun 11 $138 −$13 -10%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $17 +$3 +20%
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Jun 10 $53 +$6 +11%
Spread: Venezuela (-1.5) Jun 10 $189 +$20 +10%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $113 +$7 +6%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $136 +$14 +10%
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 165.5 Jun 10 $2 +$1 +49%
Spread: Belarus (-1.5) Jun 10 $5 +$2 +43%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-6.5) Jun 10 $8 $0 +5%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 10 $45 +$5 +11%
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5) Jun 10 $60 +$12 +20%
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5) Jun 10 $102 +$17 +17%
Will Iceland win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $3 $0 +17%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? Jun 09 $967 +$8 +1%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $8 −$6 -69%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 09 $129 +$15 +11%
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 161.5 Jun 09 $5 +$1 +19%
Spread: Spain (-1.5) Jun 09 $8 +$1 +12%
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? Jun 09 $31 −$9 -28%
Spread: New York Liberty (-14.5) Jun 09 $299 +$18 +6%
Will Peru vs. Spain end in a draw? Jun 09 $16 −$9 -59%
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $93 +$10 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 48% +$282
sports 31% +$217
other 17% +$93
politics 2% +$41
crypto 2% +$5
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL Yes $9 24m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY Yes $35 44m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 31¢ $3 1h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner SELL WLGaming Esports 11¢ $1 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY Yes $10 1h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner SELL WLGaming Esports 11¢ $1 1h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY WLGaming Esports $2 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY Yes $5 1h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY WLGaming Esports 21¢ $2 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY Yes $4 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY Yes $0 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY Yes $4 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY Yes $0 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL Yes $39 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY Yes $23 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY Yes $0 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY Yes $1 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY Yes $1 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY Yes $0 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY Yes $13 1h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5 SELL Under 91¢ $71 12h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5 SELL Under 79¢ $79 13h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5 BUY Under 73¢ $33 13h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5 BUY Under 73¢ $26 13h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5 BUY Under 73¢ $14 13h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5 BUY Under 72¢ $7 13h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 0.5 BUY Over 92¢ $1 13h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 0.5 BUY Over 92¢ $2 13h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5 BUY Under 93¢ $93 13h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5 BUY Under 95¢ $59 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 -15.7% -23.7% 63% 38% -8.0%
≤30d 251 +1.1% -8.5% 70% 43% -6.4%
≤90d 251 +1.1% -8.5% 70% 43% -6.4%
all 251 +1.1% -8.5% 70% 43% -6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover58.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.5% 43% -6.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.3% 25% -15.3%
15% -25.2% 14% -23.5%
20% -32.6% 8% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $107.59 · official $107.69 (match) · 1706 history records