Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:58:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3F
0x3f72…bb40
crypto · 594 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$570 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$573 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$573
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses249 / 348
Open positions1
Markets (closed)597 / 594
History coverage8d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day312.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 597 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,237
7 days−$501
14 days−$573
30 days−$573
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 68¢ 86¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+26%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 61¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down 70¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $55 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$11 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $59 −$46 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$8 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $85 +$10 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$51 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $74 −$41 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $32 +$19 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $32 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $32 +$8 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$11 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$8 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$16 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $64 +$43 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $95 −$26 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$6 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $85 −$29 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $75 −$7 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$8 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $75 +$72 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$29 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$27 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $64 +$9 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $85 −$38 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $74 +$25 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$21 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$10 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$8 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$14 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$5 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $95 −$20 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$14 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$41 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$560
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $11 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $11 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $11 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $11 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $6 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $11 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $11 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $11 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $11 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 563 -5.8% -14.7% 42% 37% -11.5%
≤30d 597 -5.7% -14.6% 42% 37% -11.6%
≤90d 597 -5.7% -14.6% 42% 37% -11.6%
all 597 -5.7% -14.6% 42% 37% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover312.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 37% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 32% -20.1%
15% -30.3% 25% -27.8%
20% -37.1% 19% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.79 · official $8.93 · 3500 history records