Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:14:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3F
0x3f3a…e8fd
other · 479 markets active 6h ago
0.0score
−$765,540 -44%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$765,540 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$765,540
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses234 / 478
Whale WR (big bets)37%
Est. fees paid−$4,108
Open positions0
Markets (closed)712 / 479
Avg bet$3,613
Trades / day122.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit28%
Chart Positions 0 History 712 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$855,163
7 days−$752,475
14 days−$715,360
30 days−$765,540
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-30? No 53¢ 0¢ $1,759 $0 −$1,759 (-100%)
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $892 $0 −$892 (-100%)
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $661 $0 −$661 (-100%)
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-05-10? No 29¢ 0¢ $778 $0 −$778 (-100%)
Will Ghazl El Mahalla SC win on 2026-05-18? No 89¢ 0¢ $2,535 $0 −$2,535 (-100%)
Will CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw? No 45¢ 0¢ $963 $0 −$963 (-100%)
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? No 30¢ 0¢ $3,280 $0 −$3,280 (-100%)
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-03? No 50¢ 0¢ $458 $0 −$458 (-100%)
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $325 $0 −$325 (-100%)
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29? No 47¢ 0¢ $5,913 $0 −$5,913 (-100%)
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $1,634 $0 −$1,634 (-100%)
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-09? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $291 $0 −$291 (-100%)
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-05? No 63¢ 0¢ $9,635 $0 −$9,635 (-100%)
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-23? No 21¢ 0¢ $657 $0 −$657 (-100%)
Will AA Ponte Preta vs. Botafogo FC end in a draw? No 71¢ 0¢ $3,436 $0 −$3,436 (-100%)
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw? No 73¢ 0¢ $18,601 $0 −$18,601 (-100%)
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-21? No 50¢ 0¢ $1,238 $0 −$1,238 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $1,735 $0 −$1,735 (-100%)
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-21? No 50¢ 0¢ $10,277 $0 −$10,277 (-100%)
Will SS Juve Stabia win on 2026-05-08? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $292 $0 −$292 (-100%)
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-30? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $2,312 $0 −$2,312 (-100%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04? No 41¢ 0¢ $5,940 $0 −$5,940 (-100%)
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31? No 27¢ 0¢ $3,241 $0 −$3,241 (-100%)
Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-05-21? No 53¢ 0¢ $5,223 $0 −$5,223 (-100%)
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw? No 76¢ 0¢ $951 $0 −$951 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $778 −$778 -100%
Will CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw? Jun 12 $963 −$963 -100%
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-03? Jun 12 $458 −$458 -100%
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-06? Jun 12 $325 −$325 -100%
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29? Jun 12 $5,913 −$5,913 -100%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $291 −$291 -100%
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-05? Jun 12 $9,635 −$9,635 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $1,735 −$1,735 -100%
Will SS Juve Stabia win on 2026-05-08? Jun 12 $292 −$292 -100%
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw? Jun 12 $951 −$951 -100%
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $299 −$299 -100%
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw? Jun 12 $702 −$702 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02? Jun 12 $22,976 −$22,976 -100%
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $637 −$637 -100%
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-05-15? Jun 12 $393 −$393 -100%
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw? Jun 12 $2,309 −$2,309 -100%
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $543 −$543 -100%
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-05? Jun 12 $916 −$916 -100%
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-07? Jun 12 $15,070 −$15,070 -100%
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-04-30? Jun 12 $388 −$388 -100%
Will US Avellino 1912 vs. Modena FC 2018 end in a draw? Jun 12 $1,065 −$1,065 -100%
Will New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw? Jun 12 $1,281 −$1,281 -100%
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $20,691 −$20,691 -100%
Will FBC Melgar win on 2026-05-03? Jun 12 $595 −$595 -100%
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $5,179 −$5,179 -100%
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $225 −$225 -100%
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-05-13? Jun 12 $5,022 −$5,022 -100%
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-14? Jun 12 $9,215 −$9,215 -100%
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04? Jun 12 $1,904 −$1,904 -100%
Will SBV Excelsior vs. FC Volendam end in a draw? Jun 12 $16,208 −$16,208 -100%
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-03? Jun 12 $5,367 −$5,367 -100%
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $433 −$433 -100%
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $1,991 −$1,991 -100%
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-05-14? Jun 12 $7,556 −$7,556 -100%
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-15? Jun 12 $6,759 −$6,759 -100%
Will Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? Jun 12 $833 −$833 -100%
Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $341 −$341 -100%
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $409 −$409 -100%
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-05-03? Jun 12 $982 −$982 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $1,322 −$1,322 -100%
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $7,853 −$7,853 -100%
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-05-11? Jun 12 $1,649 −$1,649 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $2,211 −$2,211 -100%
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $640 −$640 -100%
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $752 −$752 -100%
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-05-15? Jun 12 $2,649 −$2,649 -100%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $1,224 −$1,224 -100%
Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $2,915 −$2,915 -100%
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $1,355 −$1,355 -100%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01? Jun 12 $5,376 −$5,376 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 75% +$27,027
sports 25% −$36,968
crypto 0% +$12,228
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 85¢ $81 5h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 85¢ $18 5h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 85¢ $84 5h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 85¢ $178 5h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 84¢ $2,912 5h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 85¢ $239 5h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 85¢ $95 5h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 85¢ $795 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 72¢ $267 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 72¢ $72 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 72¢ $3 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 72¢ $8 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 72¢ $720 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 72¢ $26 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 72¢ $12 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 45¢ $8 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 45¢ $8 6h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 21¢ $539 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 45¢ $703 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 67¢ $1,109 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 67¢ $3,665 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 67¢ $6,222 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 67¢ $12,198 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 37¢ $300 6h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 29¢ $236 6h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 29¢ $2,316 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 37¢ $2,948 6h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 29¢ $168 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 37¢ $214 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 37¢ $1,715 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-38.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 299 -84.7% -86.1% 9% 8% -68.0%
≤30d 712 -32.4% -38.8% 33% 32% -37.3%
≤90d 712 -32.4% -38.8% 33% 32% -37.3%
all 712 -32.4% -38.8% 33% 32% -37.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover122.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -38.8% 32% -37.3%
10% -44.7% 31% -43.3%
15% ← realistic here -50.0% 27% -48.8%
20% -54.9% 23% -53.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records