trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 33% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -1.8% | -11.1% | 44% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -1.8% | -11.1% | 44% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 24 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 62% | 0% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $50 | $50 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 55¢ | 92¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+66%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $51 | −$1 | -2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 26 | $49 | +$3 | +6% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 26 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 25 | $43 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 23 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 22 | $10 | −$2 | -20% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | May 21 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Dec 17 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 26 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Ethereum above $2,700 on June 3? | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend | May 20 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 19 | $9 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference? | May 15 | $14 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 11 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Alliance for a Great Albania win the most seats in the next A | May 10 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series? | May 10 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lakas win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2 | May 09 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Israel qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final? | May 08 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | May 08 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? | May 08 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025? | May 07 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 06 | $12 | $0 | +0% |