Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:35:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3F
0x3f2f…8150
crypto · 587 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$24,622 +89%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$623 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$623
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses295 / 292
Open positions0
Markets (closed)587 / 587
History coverage2d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day1414.8
Drawdown46%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 587 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$602
7 days+$623
14 days+$623
30 days+$623
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $61 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$23 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $63 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$10 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $125 −$19 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$17 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $136 −$20 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $84 −$10 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $49 −$19 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$16 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $58 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$7 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $67 −$7 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $193 −$11 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $70 +$19 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $38 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$12 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $58 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $68 −$33 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $87 −$16 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $66 −$6 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $62 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $103 −$11 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $81 −$21 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $141 −$9 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$14 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $44 −$12 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$12 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $40 −$10 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $33 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $39 +$7 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$19 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$15 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $192 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $118 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$11 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $82 −$18 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$623
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $27 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $14 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $0 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $0 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $0 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $23 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $6 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $14 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $20 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $28 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $20 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $17 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $22 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 23m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-3.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 587 +6.8% -3.4% 50% 40% -7.5%
≤30d 587 +6.8% -3.4% 50% 40% -7.5%
≤90d 587 +6.8% -3.4% 50% 40% -7.5%
all 587 +6.8% -3.4% 50% 40% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1414.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.4% 40% -7.5%
10% ← realistic here -12.6% 32% -16.3%
15% -21.1% 27% -24.4%
20% -28.8% 21% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records