Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:50:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3F
0x3f26…abba
crypto · 1089 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$3,091 -28%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,009 · open −$67
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$82
Realized−$3,009
Unrealized−$67
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses450 / 633
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1083 / 1089
History coverage22d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day124.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 1083 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$62
7 days−$579
14 days−$591
30 days−$3,009
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 13? Yes 48¢ 57¢ $48 $57 +$9 (+19%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 13? Yes 29¢ 30¢ $14 $15 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 14? Yes 37¢ 36¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes 25¢ 22¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-11%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 12? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 12? Jun 13 $18 −$18 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 12? Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 12 $57 +$62 +108%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 13? Jun 12 $3 +$1 +39%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14? Jun 12 $1 $0 -22%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? Jun 12 $96 −$35 -36%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$3 -68%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$2 -47%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 13? Jun 12 $2 $0 -26%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$1 -23%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +21%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13? Jun 12 $7 +$1 +9%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $25 +$27 +109%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$6 +145%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -97%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 11? Jun 11 $5 −$2 -35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$3 -23%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$2 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$6 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 11? Jun 11 $25 +$5 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$6 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 −$2 -33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 58% −$309
weather 42% −$2,767
politics 0% $0
sports 0% $0
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 13? BUY Yes 29¢ $15 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 13? BUY Yes 48¢ $30 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 13? BUY Yes 48¢ $19 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 4h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $119 4h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 13? SELL Yes 7¢ $1 5h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 13? SELL Yes 7¢ $3 5h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 12? BUY Yes 26¢ $3 6h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $0 7h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14? SELL Yes 6¢ $0 7h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 12? BUY Yes 45¢ $5 7h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 12? BUY Yes 45¢ $5 7h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 12? BUY Yes 45¢ $4 7h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 12? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 7h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 14? BUY Yes 37¢ $3 7h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 5¢ $3 7h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 13? BUY Yes 6¢ $4 7h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 7h
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 12? BUY Yes 71¢ $5 7h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? BUY Yes 43¢ $5 8h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? BUY Yes 44¢ $4 8h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL Yes 51¢ $4 8h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? BUY Yes 52¢ $27 8h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL Yes 35¢ $27 8h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL Yes 39¢ $11 8h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? BUY Yes 44¢ $18 8h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? BUY Yes 43¢ $4 8h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL Yes 49¢ $7 8h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL Yes 67¢ $13 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 692 -5.8% -14.8% 56% 52% -17.3%
≤30d 1083 -8.8% -17.5% 42% 39% -34.8%
≤90d 1083 -8.8% -17.5% 42% 39% -34.8%
all 1083 -8.8% -17.5% 42% 39% -34.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover124.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.5% 39% -34.8%
10% ← realistic here -25.4% 32% -41.0%
15% -32.6% 21% -46.7%
20% -39.2% 13% -52.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $82.24 · official $82.25 (match) · 3500 history records