Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:03:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
3F 0x3f24…3476 crypto 303 markets active 0h ago coverage 10d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 9d only
✗ bot/MM pace (332 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$303 (-3%) realized −$303 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate89%271W / 32L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$32per market
Trades / day331.7pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$125
7 days−$125
14 days−$142
30 days−$142
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$143
other 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (332 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-5.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 236 -1.2% -10.6% 97% 0% -11.5%
≤30d 303 +5.0% -5.0% 89% 2% -11.2%
≤90d 303 +5.0% -5.0% 89% 2% -11.2%
all 303 +5.0% -5.0% 89% 2% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover331.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.0% 2% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -14.1% 1% -19.7%
15% -22.4% 1% -27.5%
20% -30.0% 1% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +12% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
10.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$13 · ×0.08 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.65 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$303
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses271 / 32
Open positions0
Markets (closed)303 / 303
History coverage10d ⚠
Avg bet$32
Trades / day331.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 303 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $143 −$9 -6%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $63 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $24 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $79 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $8 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $79 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $79 −$14 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $59 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 8m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 9m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records