Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T21:13:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
3F 0x3f20…e0d1 crypto 234 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (182 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$6 (+1%) realized +$6 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%231W / 3L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day181.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (182 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 234 -0.3% -9.8% 99% 0% -9.8%
≤30d 234 -0.3% -9.8% 99% 0% -9.8%
≤90d 234 -0.3% -9.8% 99% 0% -9.8%
all 234 -0.3% -9.8% 99% 0% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover181.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 0% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 0% -18.4%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$5 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses231 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)234 / 234
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day181.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 234 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 13m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 33m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 58m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.96 · official $0.00 (match) · 466 history records