Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:51:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3F
0x3f0f…0e48
sports · 120 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$9,401 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,458 · open +$363
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7,293
Realized−$2,458
Unrealized+$363
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses66 / 68
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Est. fees paid−$419
Open positions6
Markets (closed)134 / 120
History coverage11d
Avg bet$1,385
Trades / day313.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit59%
Chart Positions 6 History 134 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,790
7 days−$2,702
14 days−$2,458
30 days−$2,458
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 97¢ 100¢ $3,779 $3,910 +$131 (+3%)
Spread: Germany (-2.5) Germany 90¢ 100¢ $2,505 $2,774 +$269 (+11%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 98¢ 90¢ $612 $561 −$51 (-8%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Under 43¢ 67¢ $14 $22 +$8 (+55%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Over 75¢ 100¢ $13 $17 +$4 (+33%)
Spread: Germany (-5.5) Curaçao 39¢ 48¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+26%)
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-21? No 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31? No 25¢ 0¢ $1,503 $0 −$1,503 (-100%)
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-31? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage CYBERSHOKE Esports 43¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-28? No 1¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 G2 52¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner MIBR 22¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 62¢ 0¢ $116 $0 −$116 (-100%)
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5 Under 28¢ 0¢ $930 $0 −$930 (-100%)
Will United States vs. Senegal end in a draw? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will CA Platense win on 2026-05-27? No 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-24? No 5¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 2.5 Under 89¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
São Paulo FC vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5 Under 25¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner Sinners 29¢ 0¢ $388 $0 −$388 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-21? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31? Jun 14 $1,503 −$2,481 -165%
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-31? Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 14 $5 −$3 -61%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-28? Jun 14 $27 −$74 -273%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 14 $25 +$66 +265%
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $930 −$374 -40%
Will United States vs. Senegal end in a draw? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will CA Platense win on 2026-05-27? Jun 14 $2 −$3 -188%
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-24? Jun 14 $7 −$27 -413%
São Paulo FC vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $38 +$70 +186%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $388 −$328 -84%
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-21? Jun 14 $162 −$163 -100%
Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $6 −$50 -797%
Will Iraq win on 2026-05-29? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
LDU de Quito vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $0 +$39 +273743%
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-24? Jun 14 $10 +$14 +143%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Club Bolívar vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Germany leading at halftime? Jun 14 $603 −$25 -4%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $1,712 −$80 -5%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $313 +$5 +2%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $2,995 +$79 +3%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $9,166 −$138 -2%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $624 +$6 +1%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $100 −$4 -4%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $586 +$49 +8%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1,087 −$15 -1%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $9,924 −$18 -0%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $222 +$11 +5%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1,374 −$53 -4%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $756 −$8 -1%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $301 −$114 -38%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $1,713 +$59 +3%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $165 −$165 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $17,295 +$886 +5%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $3,915 +$152 +4%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $82 −$82 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $857 −$17 -2%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $73 +$7 +10%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $402 +$16 +4%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1,234 −$14 -1%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $27 −$27 -97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $101 +$83 +82%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $186 −$113 -60%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $137 −$96 -70%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $50 +$4 +8%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1,477 −$27 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 77% +$1,555
sports 19% −$69
crypto 4% −$206
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 SELL Under 48¢ $6 4m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 SELL Under 48¢ $15 4m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 SELL Under 46¢ $15 4m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 SELL Under 45¢ $12 4m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 SELL Under 45¢ $5 5m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 SELL Under 45¢ $45 5m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 SELL Under 45¢ $50 5m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 SELL Under 44¢ $2 5m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 SELL Under 44¢ $4 5m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 SELL Under 44¢ $18 5m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 SELL Under 44¢ $26 5m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 43¢ $200 5m
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 99¢ $54 6m
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 99¢ $146 7m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Curaçao 40¢ $50 8m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Curaçao 41¢ $49 9m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Curaçao 40¢ $50 9m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) BUY Curaçao 37¢ $50 9m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) BUY Curaçao 39¢ $50 9m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) BUY Curaçao 40¢ $50 9m
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 98¢ $200 10m
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 98¢ $200 10m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 SELL Under 72¢ $15 11m
Spread: Germany (-3.5) SELL Germany 92¢ $85 12m
Spread: Germany (-3.5) SELL Curaçao 4¢ $28 12m
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Curaçao 7¢ $50 13m
Spread: Germany (-3.5) SELL Germany 94¢ $12 13m
Spread: Germany (-3.5) SELL Germany 94¢ $1 13m
Spread: Germany (-3.5) SELL Germany 94¢ $0 13m
Spread: Germany (-3.5) SELL Germany 94¢ $50 13m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)+14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 90 +41.8% +28.3% 42% 22% -10.9%
≤30d 134 +26.9% +14.8% 49% 22% -10.4%
≤90d 134 +26.9% +14.8% 49% 22% -10.4%
all 134 +26.9% +14.8% 49% 22% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover313.5 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +14.8% 22% -10.4%
10% +3.8% 15% -19.0%
15% ← realistic here -6.2% 13% -26.8%
20% -15.4% 12% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7,292.76 · official $7,292.76 (match) · 3500 history records