Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:00:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3F
0x3f07…d1a5
crypto · 1709 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$922 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$420 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$420
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses1239 / 470
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1709 / 1709
History coverage73d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day23.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1709 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$23
7 days+$45
14 days−$61
30 days+$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$420
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $14 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $7 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $7 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $3 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 124 +5.4% -4.7% 91% 70% -7.2%
≤30d 317 +2.9% -6.9% 91% 61% -9.1%
≤90d 1709 -7.1% -15.9% 72% 13% -12.3%
all 1709 -7.1% -15.9% 72% 13% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.9% 13% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -24.0% 2% -20.7%
15% -31.3% 2% -28.3%
20% -38.1% 1% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records