trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -2.2% | -11.6% | 0% | 0% | -10.6% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 22% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 22% | 0% | -9.9% |
| all | 22 | -7.6% | -16.4% | 41% | 0% | -10.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.4% | 0% | -10.9% |
| 10% | -24.4% | 0% | -19.4% |
| 15% | -31.7% | 0% | -27.2% |
| 20% | -38.4% | 0% | -34.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $25 | −$1 | -4% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $57 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 13 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $10 | −$1 | -8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 12 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 10 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 10 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 10 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 08 | $40 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Dec 11 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Perplexity AI buy TikTok? | Dec 11 | $4 | −$4 | -93% |
| Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July? | Dec 11 | $6 | $0 | +4% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 20 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2600 in April? | May 06 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 23 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | Apr 22 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Péter Erdő be the next pope? | Apr 22 | $2 | $0 | +9% |
| Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | Apr 21 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump pardon 1,500 or more Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days | Apr 21 | $3 | −$1 | -28% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference? | Apr 03 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 27 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 26 | $1 | −$1 | -51% |