trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 65¢ | 99¢ | $20 | $31 | +$11 (+53%) |
| Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 21¢ | 22¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | Down | 66¢ | 0¢ | $69 | $0 | −$69 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 | Jun 13 | $3 | +$1 | +47% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 AND Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $12 | +$9 | +72% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | Mar 20 | $28 | +$22 | +79% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | Mar 20 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | Mar 20 | $75 | −$69 | -92% |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the | Mar 20 | $20 | −$9 | -47% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | Mar 20 | $20 | +$6 | +30% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | Mar 20 | $16 | +$2 | +14% |
| State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? | Mar 20 | $10 | −$1 | -6% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | Mar 20 | $20 | +$9 | +42% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | Mar 20 | $24 | +$9 | +37% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | Mar 20 | $18 | +$9 | +52% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | Mar 20 | $12 | +$6 | +52% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | Mar 20 | $4 | +$2 | +47% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | Mar 20 | $5 | +$3 | +62% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | Mar 20 | $10 | +$2 | +24% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | Mar 20 | $5 | +$5 | +91% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | Mar 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 20 | $10 | −$2 | -18% |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Mar 20 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | Mar 17 | $15 | +$3 | +22% |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awa | Mar 16 | $59 | +$19 | +33% |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 16 | $35 | +$9 | +26% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +59.8% | +44.6% | 100% | 100% | +51.3% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +59.8% | +44.6% | 100% | 100% | +51.3% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +15.7% | +4.6% | 70% | 70% | -2.6% |
| all | 23 | +15.7% | +4.6% | 70% | 70% | -2.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +4.6% | 70% | -2.6% |
| 10% | -5.4% | 61% | -11.9% |
| 15% | -14.5% | 43% | -20.4% |
| 20% | -22.9% | 26% | -28.2% |