Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:52:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
3E 0x3eea…b74d crypto 731 markets active 6d ago coverage 24d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 23d only
✗ bot/MM pace (117 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$785 (-15%) realized −$785 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -18% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -37% what you keep after slip
Net edge-37%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate36%265W / 466L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day116.6pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$168
14 days−$168
30 days−$803
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$789
other 1% −$11
sports 0% +$3
world 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (117 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-25.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 127 -22.1% -29.5% 46% 33% -30.5%
≤30d 731 -17.6% -25.5% 36% 28% -23.7%
≤90d 731 -17.6% -25.5% 36% 28% -23.7%
all 731 -17.6% -25.5% 36% 28% -23.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover116.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.5% 28% -23.7%
10% ← realistic here -32.6% 23% -31.0%
15% -39.1% 19% -37.7%
20% -45.1% 15% -43.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -15% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
21% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -18% · $-wt -15% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -20% → late -15% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$5 · ×1.09 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.62 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

24d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$785
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses265 / 466
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)731 / 731
History coverage24d ⚠
Avg bet$7
Trades / day116.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 731 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +68%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +65%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$4 +140%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -61%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$5 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$4 +140%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$5 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -67%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$4 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -49%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $3 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +57%
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $4 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $6 +$6 +98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$4 +134%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 0¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 0¢ $2 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records