Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:44:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3E
0x3ee6…1733
crypto · 68 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$8 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$7
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses27 / 38
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)65 / 68
History coverage8d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day17.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 3 History 65 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$18
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+21%)
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Cattolica (Doubles): Kalender/Sabanov vs Grevelius/Heinonen Kalender/Sabanov 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee Jun 13 $1 −$1 -64%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet Jun 12 $1 $0 -21%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $3 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +115%
Cattolica (Doubles): Kalender/Sabanov vs Grevelius/Heinonen Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +58%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$1 -48%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 07 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 07 $4 +$4 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 07 $4 +$2 +53%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 07 $1 +$2 +179%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 06 $3 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 06 $1 +$3 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 06 $4 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 06 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 06 $2 +$3 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$2
other 11% −$4
economics 1% −$1
politics 1% $0
sports 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet SELL No 1¢ $1 10h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 10h
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $2 10h
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 2d
Cattolica (Doubles): Kalender/Sabanov vs Grevelius/Heinonen BUY Kalender/Sabanov 1¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 4d
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $0 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-22.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -33.8% -40.1% 34% 29% -28.8%
≤30d 65 -13.9% -22.1% 42% 37% -13.3%
≤90d 65 -13.9% -22.1% 42% 37% -13.3%
all 65 -13.9% -22.1% 42% 37% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.1% 37% -13.3%
10% -29.5% 29% -21.6%
15% -36.3% 28% -29.2%
20% -42.6% 22% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.47 · official $6.47 (match) · 160 history records