Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:43:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3E
0x3ee6…20f2
crypto · 1499 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,232 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,231 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$1,231
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses1006 / 627
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1633 / 1499
History coverage32d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day81.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1633 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$948
7 days−$901
14 days−$864
30 days−$1,103
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? No 90¢ 94¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz Lotte Giants 55¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? Yes 11¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$256
other 0% +$3
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $7 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-19.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 721 -20.2% -27.8% 61% 32% -30.3%
≤30d 1451 -10.8% -19.3% 63% 45% -20.4%
≤90d 1633 -10.9% -19.4% 62% 45% -20.3%
all 1633 -10.9% -19.4% 62% 45% -20.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover81.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.4% 45% -20.3%
10% ← realistic here -27.1% 26% -27.9%
15% -34.1% 16% -34.9%
20% -40.6% 11% -41.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.55 · official $2.55 (match) · 3500 history records