Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:00:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3E
0x3ee4…ed67
sports · 531 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,218 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$668 · open −$552
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$1,274
Realized−$668
Unrealized−$552
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses286 / 237
Est. fees paid−$346
Open positions8
Markets (closed)523 / 531
History coverage21d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day150.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 8 History 523 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$510
7 days−$878
14 days−$401
30 days−$668
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 56¢ 100¢ $295 $523 +$227 (+77%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 64¢ 100¢ $197 $308 +$112 (+57%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 67¢ 100¢ $173 $258 +$84 (+49%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 69¢ 100¢ $74 $108 +$34 (+46%)
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 30¢ 23¢ $50 $38 −$12 (-23%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 52¢ 56¢ $18 $19 +$1 (+7%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 59¢ 60¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 45¢ 44¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-4%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 52¢ $199 $2 −$197 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 69¢ $295 $0 −$295 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 52¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 65¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 80¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 48¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 48¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 55¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $100 −$72 -72%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $473 −$50 -11%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $174 +$35 +20%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $422 +$80 +19%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $25 +$23 +90%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $247 +$15 +6%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $149 +$8 +5%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $101 −$99 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $126 −$74 -59%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $74 −$25 -33%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $150 +$61 +41%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $25 −$25 -99%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $300 −$300 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $253 −$253 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$46 +92%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $277 −$245 -88%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $124 +$15 +12%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $436 +$158 +36%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $322 +$101 +32%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $274 +$116 +42%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$4 +40%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 +$1 +11%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $9 +$3 +29%
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eagles Jun 10 $4 $0 +10%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 10 $50 −$8 -16%
UFC Fight Night: Yuneisy Duben vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Flyweight, P Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 10 $11 −$2 -17%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $27 −$6 -21%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $8 −$2 -24%
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 10 $8 −$3 -34%
T20 Blast: Yorkshire vs Lancashire Jun 10 $4 −$4 -92%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $18 −$7 -37%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 10 $23 −$5 -24%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 10 $34 −$3 -9%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Jun 10 $9 −$7 -71%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $24 −$4 -18%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $14 −$6 -40%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 10 $28 −$9 -33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$1,216
other 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 79¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 83¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 78¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 74¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 52¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 62¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 52¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 62¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 55¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 63¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 69¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 55¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 44¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 75¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 46¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 38¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 51¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 68¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 57¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 52¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 72¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 71¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 74¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 61¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 52¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 61¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 61¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 68¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 68¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 62¢ $25 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 168 -21.1% -28.6% 45% 23% -20.6%
≤30d 523 -8.8% -17.4% 55% 21% -13.6%
≤90d 523 -8.8% -17.4% 55% 21% -13.6%
all 523 -8.8% -17.4% 55% 21% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover150.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.4% 21% -13.6%
10% ← realistic here -25.3% 15% -21.8%
15% -32.6% 11% -29.4%
20% -39.2% 7% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,274.41 · official $1,298.22 · 3500 history records