Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:16:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3E
0x3ee3…6d33
sports · 42 markets active 4h ago
7.0score
+$178 +34%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$172 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$93
Realized+$172
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses23 / 13
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions6
Markets (closed)36 / 42
Avg bet$12
Trades / day5.1
Drawdown17%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 6 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$34
7 days+$137
14 days+$172
30 days+$172
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 55¢ 57¢ $22 $23 +$1 (+5%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Zeynep Sonmez 52¢ 52¢ $21 $21 +$0 (+0%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 57¢ 66¢ $15 $17 +$2 (+17%)
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Donna Vekic 40¢ 48¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+19%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 51¢ 55¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+7%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 50¢ 48¢ $10 $9 −$0 (-5%)
Jovic vs. Eala: Match O/U 21.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Chwalinska vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5 Over 41¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Kimberly Birrell 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu Arthur Fery 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Spurs 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Cleveland Guardians 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Makarska: Elina Avanesyan vs Darja Semenistaja Elina Avanesyan 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card) Belal Muhammad 52¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Spurs 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska Anna Kalinskaya 60¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$16 +158%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 10 $10 +$10 +101%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $10 +$11 +109%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $10 +$11 +114%
Jovic vs. Eala: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 10 $10 −$10 -99%
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria Jun 09 $10 +$9 +93%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $5 +$5 +101%
Libema Open: Jaume Munar vs Martin Damm Jun 09 $13 +$10 +79%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $20 +$23 +114%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 08 $10 +$7 +70%
Stuttgart Open: Tommy Paul vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Jun 08 $9 +$4 +44%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5 Jun 07 $51 +$39 +76%
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai Jun 07 $20 +$11 +57%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 07 $19 −$18 -99%
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims) Jun 07 $5 +$19 +388%
O/U 2.5 Rounds Jun 07 $12 +$8 +62%
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) Jun 06 $11 +$11 +101%
Centurion 2: Harold Mayot vs Philip Henning Jun 06 $10 +$11 +114%
Makarska: Elina Avanesyan vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 06 $10 −$10 -99%
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 06 $10 −$10 -99%
Chwalinska vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 06 $8 −$8 -98%
Spread: Knicks (-5.5) Jun 06 $9 +$19 +200%
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 05 $11 −$10 -99%
Arnaldi vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 38.5 Jun 05 $10 $0 -3%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5) Jun 05 $13 +$8 +62%
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5) Jun 04 $10 +$6 +65%
Shnaider vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 04 $10 +$12 +129%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Jun 04 $5 −$5 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $7 +$7 +97%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $16 +$15 +90%
Kalinskaya vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 03 $24 +$14 +60%
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 03 $14 −$14 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% +$162
other 4% +$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 52¢ $21 3h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 55¢ $23 3h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $5 7h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $10 7h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $10 7h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $10 7h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 51¢ $10 28h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Dayana Yastremska 57¢ $15 28h
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 47¢ $10 2d
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 40¢ $10 2d
Jovic vs. Eala: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 52¢ $10 2d
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 49¢ $10 2d
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann BUY Mattia Bellucci 46¢ $10 2d
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 51¢ $10 3d
Libema Open: Jaume Munar vs Martin Damm BUY Martin Damm 55¢ $13 3d
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez BUY Katie Boulter 49¢ $5 4d
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Kimberly Birrell 46¢ $5 4d
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov BUY Marin Cilic 58¢ $10 4d
Stuttgart Open: Tommy Paul vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 34¢ $9 4d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 46¢ $20 4d
Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5 BUY Over 56¢ $51 5d
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main BUY Belal Muhammad 53¢ $9 5d
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims) BUY Tom Nolan 20¢ $5 5d
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main BUY Belal Muhammad 51¢ $10 5d
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai BUY Brendan Allen 63¢ $20 5d
O/U 2.5 Rounds BUY Over 61¢ $12 5d
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) BUY Édgar Cháirez 49¢ $11 5d
Centurion 2: Harold Mayot vs Philip Henning BUY Philip Henning 46¢ $10 5d
Makarska: Elina Avanesyan vs Darja Semenistaja BUY Elina Avanesyan 52¢ $10 5d
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu BUY Arthur Fery 58¢ $10 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)+22.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 +35.9% +23.0% 62% 62% +26.5%
≤30d 36 +35.6% +22.7% 64% 64% +26.7%
≤90d 36 +35.6% +22.7% 64% 64% +26.7%
all 36 +35.6% +22.7% 64% 64% +26.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +22.7% 64% +26.7%
10% +10.9% 64% +14.6%
15% +0.2% 64% +3.5%
20% -9.6% 61% -6.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $92.70 · official $92.70 (match) · 70 history records