Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:36:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3E
0x3edf…6194
crypto · 119 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$152 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$154 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized+$154
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses32 / 86
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)118 / 119
History coverage105d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day3.3
Drawdown95%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 1 History 118 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$16
7 days+$16
14 days+$16
30 days+$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 32¢ 28¢ $16 $14 −$2 (-14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Legacy 4¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner TYLOO 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A TYLOO 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $67 +$50 +74%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $57 −$2 -4%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? Jun 13 $5 −$1 -14%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $5 $0 -6%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $15 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$23 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $28 +$26 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$25 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$12 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$6 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $32 +$80 +255%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$13 +122%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? Jun 13 $15 −$8 -56%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$1 -10%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $10 −$1 -10%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? Jun 13 $15 −$2 -17%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $21 −$1 -7%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $21 −$2 -7%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $21 −$1 -6%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$10 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$16 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$43 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$38 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Mar 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Mar 29 $20 +$33 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Mar 29 $12 +$7 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Mar 29 $100 +$192 +192%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Mar 29 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Mar 29 $67 −$66 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Mar 29 $49 −$34 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Mar 29 $20 −$10 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Mar 29 $100 +$214 +214%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Mar 29 $100 −$69 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Mar 29 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Mar 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Mar 19 $20 +$24 +122%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% +$327
other 8% −$36
world 6% −$50
sports 5% −$68
culture 1% −$7
politics 1% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $10 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $117 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 4m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 6¢ $44 5m
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? SELL Yes 3¢ $4 6m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $5 6m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 17¢ $14 6m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $30 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $54 16m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -15.4% -23.5% 27% 27% -7.6%
≤30d 37 -15.4% -23.5% 27% 27% -7.6%
≤90d 57 -7.8% -16.6% 30% 30% +8.7%
all 118 -3.1% -12.4% 27% 27% -3.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.4% 27% -3.6%
10% -20.7% 26% -12.9%
15% -28.4% 25% -21.3%
20% -35.4% 25% -29.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.75 · official $25.25 · 351 history records