Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:54:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3E
0x3ed4…17d1
crypto · 1451 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$113 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$51 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$51
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses1258 / 193
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1451 / 1451
History coverage66d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day46.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1451 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days+$2
14 days−$20
30 days−$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 14? Jun 14 $12 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 14? Jun 14 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 14? Jun 14 $22 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14? Jun 14 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 14? Jun 14 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14? Jun 14 $50 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju Jun 14 $49 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 13? Jun 14 $31 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 13? Jun 13 $14 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13? Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13? Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13? Jun 13 $49 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 13? Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 13? Jun 13 $20 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13? Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13? Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13? Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $49 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $49 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13? Jun 13 $18 −$13 -73%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on June 13? Jun 13 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 12? Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 13 $49 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 12? Jun 13 $49 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 12 $13 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $24 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 13? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $13 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 13? Jun 12 $40 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $16 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 74% −$47
weather 26% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $12 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 14? BUY Yes 100¢ $12 1h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $50 2h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $23 2h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 14? BUY Yes 99¢ $22 3h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 14? BUY Yes 100¢ $50 3h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $50 4h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14? BUY Yes 100¢ $50 4h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $50 4h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 14? BUY Yes 100¢ $50 4h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $12 7h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $25 7h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $12 7h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14? BUY Yes 99¢ $50 7h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju SELL Yes 100¢ $50 10h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $32 11h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju BUY Yes 99¢ $49 12h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $31 12h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $14 13h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $10 13h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $14 13h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $10 13h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $40 13h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 13h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 13h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $50 13h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju SELL Yes 100¢ $10 13h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $50 14h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $50 14h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju BUY Yes 99¢ $10 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 168 -0.1% -9.6% 99% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 449 -0.1% -9.6% 97% 0% -9.8%
≤90d 1451 +0.9% -8.7% 87% 5% -9.7%
all 1451 +0.9% -8.7% 87% 5% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 5% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 4% -18.3%
15% -25.4% 3% -26.2%
20% -32.7% 1% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records