Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:10:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3E
0x3ed3…01e3
sports · 65 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$26 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$128 · open −$33
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$215
Realized−$128
Unrealized−$33
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses26 / 34
Est. fees paid−$52
Open positions5
Markets (closed)60 / 65
History coverage4d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day43.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 5 History 60 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$304
7 days−$128
14 days−$128
30 days−$128
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) G2 36¢ 84¢ $82 $193 +$110 (+134%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5) Natus Vincere 30¢ 11¢ $60 $22 −$38 (-63%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 21¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 14¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 26¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Under 58¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 14¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 45¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 31¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 61¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Vitality 22¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Spirit 53¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) PARIVISION 28¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Spirit 64¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 35¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 54¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner 9z 26¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 44¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Vitality 55¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) TheMongolz 25¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) MOUZ 32¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner G2 15¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 30¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 48¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $26 −$26 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $32 +$49 +152%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $56 −$55 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $28 −$28 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $18 +$4 +21%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 14 $16 −$2 -10%
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 14 $45 −$45 -100%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 14 $28 −$27 -98%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $215 +$26 +12%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $33 −$33 -99%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 13 $21 +$18 +88%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $57 +$32 +55%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $36 −$35 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $101 +$57 +57%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 13 $27 +$22 +81%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $34 −$33 -98%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 13 $78 −$77 -99%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 13 $29 −$29 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) Jun 13 $43 +$37 +84%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $14 −$14 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $69 +$51 +74%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $30 +$8 +27%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $22 +$22 +101%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5) Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $51 +$36 +70%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $41 −$14 -34%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) Jun 12 $48 −$1 -3%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $28 −$28 -99%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $49 +$31 +62%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $15 +$30 +194%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $49 +$61 +123%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $49 +$50 +103%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5) Jun 12 $39 −$2 -4%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $29 +$21 +70%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) Jun 12 $12 +$23 +197%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 12 $25 +$39 +153%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $49 −$49 -99%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 11 $60 −$60 -100%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $72 +$45 +63%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$169
other 5% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) SELL G2 95¢ $28 8m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 20¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 11¢ $10 1h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 30¢ $61 1h
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY G2 36¢ $73 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 11¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 20¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 26¢ $24 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 16¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 30¢ $21 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 47¢ $28 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 48¢ $29 2h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 24¢ $14 3h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 24¢ $0 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 90¢ $59 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 90¢ $22 3h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 17¢ $4 3h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 34¢ $7 3h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 55¢ $45 4h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 16¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 35¢ $32 4h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 45¢ $22 4h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 31¢ $3 4h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 40¢ $20 5h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 36¢ $18 5h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 14¢ $6 5h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 27¢ $19 5h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta SELL BetBoom Team 18¢ $14 5h
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY MOUZ 19¢ $2 5h
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY MOUZ 19¢ $0 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 -4.2% -13.3% 43% 43% -14.9%
≤30d 60 -4.2% -13.3% 43% 43% -14.9%
≤90d 60 -4.2% -13.3% 43% 43% -14.9%
all 60 -4.2% -13.3% 43% 43% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 43% -14.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 42% -23.0%
15% -29.2% 40% -30.5%
20% -36.1% 40% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $214.81 · official $202.72 · 199 history records