trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +7.4% | -2.8% | 100% | 22% | -4.3% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +7.4% | -2.8% | 100% | 22% | -4.3% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +7.4% | -2.8% | 100% | 22% | -4.3% |
| all | 23 | +5.0% | -5.0% | 100% | 9% | -5.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.0% | 9% | -5.8% |
| 10% | -14.1% | 0% | -14.9% |
| 15% | -22.4% | 0% | -23.1% |
| 20% | -30.0% | 0% | -30.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Londrina EC 3 - 0 Athletic Club? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $50 | $51 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5 | Over | 96¢ | 100¢ | $25 | $26 | +$1 (+4%) |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Sweden? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $25 | $26 | +$1 (+4%) |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 2 Sweden? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $25 | $26 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Sweden? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $25 | $26 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Sweden? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $25 | $25 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Trump shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $25 | $25 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ goals | No | 96¢ | 95¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Sweden? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Alexander Isak: 2+ goals | No | 97¢ | 95¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Viktor Gyökeres: 3+ goals | No | 99¢ | 97¢ | $25 | $24 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 21? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $17 | $17 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12PM ET | Jun 20 | $25 | +$1 | +4% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12PM ET | Jun 20 | $25 | $0 | +2% |
| United States vs. Australia: Neither team to score first? | Jun 20 | $100 | +$6 | +6% |
| Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Australia? | Jun 20 | $100 | +$6 | +6% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Jun 19 | $8 | +$2 | +20% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | Jun 19 | $93 | +$7 | +8% |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | Jun 19 | $89 | +$11 | +12% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20? | Jun 19 | $94 | +$6 | +6% |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the NFC East? | Jun 19 | $197 | +$3 | +2% |
| Will Fernando Mendoza win the Heisman Trophy? | Dec 14 | $98 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will no one dissent the December Fed decision? | Dec 13 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Dec 13 | $9 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Powell say "Trump" during December press conference? | Dec 13 | $9 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will "Stranger Things: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this we | Dec 13 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025 | Dec 13 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Campbell's (CPB) beat quarterly earnings? | Dec 13 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025? | Dec 13 | $10 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025? | Dec 13 | $99 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 46°F or higher on Dec | Dec 08 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025 | Dec 08 | $9 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship? | Dec 07 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw? | Dec 07 | $110 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Indiana win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game? | Dec 07 | $110 | $0 | +0% |