Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:50:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3E
0x3eb4…5db6
sports · 18 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$232 +27%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$148 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$268
Realized+$148
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses10 / 4
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions4
Markets (closed)14 / 18
History coverage6d
Avg bet$48
Trades / day97.5
Drawdown7%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$138
7 days+$148
14 days+$148
30 days+$148
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Eintracht Spandau 30¢ 100¢ $44 $148 +$104 (+236%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 69¢ 100¢ $48 $69 +$21 (+45%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 28¢ 27¢ $39 $38 −$1 (-4%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Bilibili Gaming 75¢ 100¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+33%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs Vivo Keyd Stars 12¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Vivo Keyd Stars 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$9 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$4 -72%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$3 -68%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $343 +$56 +16%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$3 +31%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $113 +$81 +72%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $20 +$2 +10%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $15 $0 -2%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $15 +$4 +25%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $10 −$10 -99%
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South A Jun 08 $15 +$1 +8%
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $5 +$2 +31%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $20 +$10 +47%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $10 +$8 +74%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$147
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Games Total: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 26¢ $0 29m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 28¢ $5 29m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 26¢ $0 38m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 28¢ $5 38m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 26¢ $0 38m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 28¢ $5 38m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 26¢ $0 38m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 28¢ $5 38m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 26¢ $0 38m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 28¢ $5 38m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 26¢ $0 38m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 26¢ $0 38m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 28¢ $5 38m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 28¢ $5 38m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 26¢ $0 38m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 28¢ $5 38m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Eintracht Spandau 22¢ $0 58m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 26¢ $5 58m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 3¢ $0 59m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 7¢ $5 59m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 2¢ $0 59m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 3¢ $5 59m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Eintracht Spandau 25¢ $0 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 26¢ $5 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Eintracht Spandau 25¢ $0 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 26¢ $5 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 4¢ $0 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 5¢ $5 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 7¢ $0 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 8¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+1.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +12.6% +1.9% 71% 50% +33.3%
≤30d 14 +12.6% +1.9% 71% 50% +33.3%
≤90d 14 +12.6% +1.9% 71% 50% +33.3%
all 14 +12.6% +1.9% 71% 50% +33.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover97.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.9% 50% +33.3%
10% ← realistic here -7.9% 50% +20.5%
15% -16.8% 29% +8.9%
20% -24.9% 21% -1.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $268.13 · official $268.13 (match) · 585 history records