Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:35:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3E
0x3eb2…e33a
other · 6 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses1 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)4 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day12.0
Drawdown98%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 2 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals Yes 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Weston McKennie: 1+ goals Yes 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals Jun 13 $8 −$6 -78%
Christian Pulisic: 1+ assists Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Weston McKennie: 1+ goals Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 +$16 +80%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 91% $0
economics 4% $0
sports 5% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee BUY Yes 5¢ $2 33m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 1h
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals BUY Yes 1¢ $3 1h
Christian Pulisic: 1+ assists SELL No 0¢ $0 1h
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals SELL Yes 7¢ $1 1h
Christian Pulisic: 1+ assists BUY No 5¢ $2 1h
Christian Pulisic: 1+ assists BUY No 6¢ $2 1h
Weston McKennie: 1+ goals BUY Yes 32¢ $5 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 93¢ $36 1h
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals BUY Yes 27¢ $5 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $16 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $4 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-58.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -54.4% -58.7% 25% 25% +1.9%
≤30d 4 -54.4% -58.7% 25% 25% +1.9%
≤90d 4 -54.4% -58.7% 25% 25% +1.9%
all 4 -54.4% -58.7% 25% 25% +1.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -58.7% 25% +1.9%
10% -62.7% 25% -7.9%
15% -66.3% 25% -16.8%
20% -69.6% 25% -24.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.38 · official $3.38 (match) · 12 history records