trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 82¢ | 81¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 58¢ | 58¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Arsenal win a trophy this season? | No | 8¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5 | Over | 41¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | Down | 81¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5 | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $23 | +$9 | +37% |
| Will Arsenal win a trophy this season? | May 11 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? | May 11 | $10 | +$7 | +70% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | Apr 17 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET | Apr 17 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | Apr 17 | $1 | +$1 | +70% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | Apr 17 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16? | Apr 17 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw? | Apr 15 | $4 | +$1 | +32% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 15 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 15 | $3 | −$2 | -68% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -31.6% | -38.1% | 50% | 50% | +2.0% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -37.5% | -43.4% | 42% | 33% | -14.6% |
| all | 12 | -37.5% | -43.4% | 42% | 33% | -14.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -43.4% | 33% | -14.6% |
| 10% | -48.8% | 33% | -22.8% |
| 15% | -53.8% | 25% | -30.2% |
| 20% | -58.3% | 17% | -37.1% |