Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:34:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3E
0x3e7a…1827
crypto · 1022 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,866 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,862 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$5
Realized−$1,862
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses614 / 410
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1024 / 1022
Avg bet$27
Trades / day216.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1024 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,341
7 days−$1,446
14 days−$1,862
30 days−$1,862
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes 25¢ 1¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-95%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? No 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? No 0¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee Jun 12 $6 −$12 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$8 -16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$15 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$9 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$24 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$7 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$4 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $134 +$27 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $130 +$18 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$16 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$15 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $129 +$44 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $65 +$15 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $133 +$11 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $128 +$52 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $132 −$3 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$9 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $132 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $126 −$126 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $255 −$82 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $99 −$99 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$11 -29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $129 +$108 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $131 −$131 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $180 −$21 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $131 +$59 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $126 +$16 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $259 −$98 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$16 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$7 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$5 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,840
other 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $9 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $24 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 19¢ $9 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $25 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $29 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $25 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $25 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $34 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $26 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $26 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $33 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $26 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $26 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $26 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $26 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $161 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $134 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $138 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $130 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $29 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $25 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 500 -3.9% -13.0% 69% 40% -15.3%
≤30d 1024 -5.7% -14.7% 60% 34% -15.3%
≤90d 1024 -5.7% -14.7% 60% 34% -15.3%
all 1024 -5.7% -14.7% 60% 34% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover216.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.7% 34% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 18% -23.4%
15% -30.3% 11% -30.8%
20% -37.1% 6% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.19 · official $5.19 (match) · 3500 history records