Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:56:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3E
0x3e6d…2671
sports · 607 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,575 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,452 · open −$142
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,754
Realized−$1,452
Unrealized−$142
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses264 / 343
Est. fees paid−$297
Open positions202
Markets (closed)607 / 607
History coverage6d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day534.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 202 History 607 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,357
7 days−$1,452
14 days−$1,452
30 days−$1,452
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 60¢ 100¢ $170 $283 +$114 (+67%)
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 89¢ 97¢ $153 $167 +$14 (+9%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 57¢ 55¢ $172 $164 −$8 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 53¢ 100¢ $71 $135 +$64 (+90%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 55¢ 100¢ $61 $112 +$51 (+83%)
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 85¢ 86¢ $93 $94 +$1 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 45¢ 62¢ $66 $91 +$25 (+39%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner LGD Gaming 33¢ 50¢ $53 $81 +$27 (+51%)
UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card) Sumudaerji 43¢ 50¢ $58 $67 +$9 (+16%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic 52¢ 100¢ $34 $65 +$31 (+93%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 91¢ 96¢ $61 $65 +$4 (+6%)
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 86¢ 86¢ $61 $61 −$0 (-0%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 45¢ 46¢ $56 $57 +$1 (+1%)
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 71¢ 72¢ $56 $56 +$0 (+0%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 36¢ 80¢ $23 $52 +$29 (+126%)
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group B Rune Eaters 61¢ 50¢ $60 $49 −$11 (-18%)
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 38¢ 38¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs ASTRAL (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group B ASTRAL 51¢ 50¢ $45 $44 −$1 (-2%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 89¢ 89¢ $41 $41 −$0 (-0%)
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 77¢ 80¢ $34 $35 +$1 (+3%)
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 68¢ 62¢ $37 $34 −$3 (-8%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 59¢ 88¢ $22 $33 +$11 (+51%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 23¢ 19¢ $40 $32 −$7 (-18%)
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 85¢ 86¢ $32 $32 +$0 (+1%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 80¢ 81¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $53 +$27 +51%
UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card) Jun 12 $58 +$9 +16%
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Quali Jun 12 $60 −$11 -18%
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs ASTRAL (BO3) - Thunderpick World Champion Jun 12 $45 −$1 -2%
ITF Cuiaba: Salvador Price vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $22 +$1 +3%
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $22 −$1 -4%
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5) Jun 12 $10 −$7 -69%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 -7%
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) Jun 12 $5 −$16 -320%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualif Jun 12 $1 +$1 +209%
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +232%
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$2 +356%
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$17 -2105%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $0 +$11 +2887%
Counter-Strike: 2007 vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Thunderpick World Cha Jun 12 $0 $0 +85%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game Jun 12 $0 +$4 +837%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Jun 12 $0 +$1 +191%
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winne Jun 12 $0 +$12 +2888%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Jun 12 $89 −$89 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 12 $0 +$14 +15072%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 +$7 +2547%
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros Jun 12 $0 +$5 +1526%
LoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $0 +$6 +4415%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $0 +$7 +3073%
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -115%
LoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Season Jun 12 $0 +$8 +3430%
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry Jun 12 $0 −$1 -407%
New York Yankees vs. Athletics Jun 12 $0 +$7 +3082%
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 12 $0 +$1 +2180%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 12 $0 +$7 +5344%
Will St. Louis City SC vs. Austin FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +580%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $0 +$3 +1518%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $0 +$14 +9830%
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros Jun 12 $0 +$2 +1762%
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $0 +$14 +29162%
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $0 +$27 +30066%
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12? Jun 12 $0 +$2 +3342%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $0 +$9 +9549%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+2.5) Jun 12 $0 +$5 +5699%
Will FC Famalicão vs. FC Alverca end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +687%
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $0 $0 +23%
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $0 $0 +428%
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 12 $0 +$6 +7740%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $4 −$7 -161%
Canadiens vs. Sabres Jun 12 $0 −$9 -14600%
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $0 +$3 +4615%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$5 -173%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$6 -171%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% +$1,043
other 11% −$20
politics 1% +$20
world 1% −$2
tech 0% −$2
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 44¢ $3 0m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 46¢ $6 0m
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 23¢ $1 1m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 44¢ $3 1m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 44¢ $4 2m
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 80¢ $6 14m
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 81¢ $2 14m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 83¢ $5 20m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 43¢ $19 33m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 60¢ $4 34m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 45¢ $3 35m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 66¢ $4 36m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 77¢ $5 41m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 67¢ $4 42m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 45¢ $7 51m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 70¢ $8 54m
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $5 55m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 70¢ $4 56m
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 31¢ $2 57m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 71¢ $18 58m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 31¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 70¢ $23 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 60¢ $17 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 59¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 32¢ $11 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 50¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 68¢ $22 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)+47.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 607 +62.6% +47.1% 43% 36% -15.9%
≤30d 607 +62.6% +47.1% 43% 36% -15.9%
≤90d 607 +62.6% +47.1% 43% 36% -15.9%
all 607 +62.6% +47.1% 43% 36% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover534.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +47.1% 36% -15.9%
10% ← realistic here +33.0% 31% -23.9%
15% +20.1% 27% -31.3%
20% +8.4% 22% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,754.35 · official $3,738.75 (match) · 3500 history records