Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T07:52:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
3E 0x3e6b…6c95 crypto 789 markets active 2h ago coverage 67d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 66d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,034 (-6%) realized −$1,034 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%773W / 16L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$21per market
Trades / day12.1pace
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$2now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days−$31
14 days−$15
30 days+$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 86% +$47
finance 8% +$16
other 6% −$51
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 115 -0.3% -9.8% 98% 0% -10.7%
≤30d 394 +0.1% -9.4% 98% 0% -9.2%
≤90d 789 +0.0% -9.5% 98% 0% -9.5%
all 789 +0.0% -9.5% 98% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover12.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 0% -9.5%
10% -18.2% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$20 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.04 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

67d coverage
Net worth$2
Realized−$1,034
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses773 / 16
Open positions0
Markets (closed)789 / 789
History coverage67d ⚠
Avg bet$21
Trades / day12.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 789 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 1AM ET Jun 23 $50 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 23 $18 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 23 $18 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9PM ET Jun 23 $14 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8PM ET Jun 23 $49 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 23 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 23 $18 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 5PM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 22 $18 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 22 $12 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 22 $18 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 22 $18 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 22 $12 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 22 $12 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 22 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 22 $17 +$2 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 21 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 21 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 21 $18 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 21 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 21 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 21 $18 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 21 $17 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 21 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 21 $18 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 21 $18 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 21 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 21 $18 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 21 $17 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 21 $18 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 20 $18 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 20 $2 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 20 $18 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 20 $18 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 20 $18 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 20 $18 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 20 $18 $0 +2%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 20? Jun 20 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down on June 20? Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 20? Jun 20 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down on June 20? Jun 20 $49 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 20? Jun 20 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 20 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 20 $12 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 20 $17 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 20 $16 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 20 $12 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 20 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 20 $18 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 1AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $18 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $18 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $13 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $49 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $18 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 5PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 9h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $18 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $18 17h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $17 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 27h
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 39h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $18 41h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $17 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $18 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $18 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $17 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.20 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records