Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:01:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3E
0x3e6b…8a98
other · 150 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,414 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,311 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6,068
Realized+$1,311
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses65 / 17
Est. fees paid−$51
Open positions71
Markets (closed)82 / 150
History coverage3d
Avg bet$174
Trades / day1271.6
Drawdown1%
Kalshi-fit14%
Chart Positions 71 History 82 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,299
7 days+$1,311
14 days+$1,311
30 days+$1,311
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? No 38¢ 38¢ $500 $493 −$7 (-1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? No 60¢ 60¢ $345 $343 −$3 (-1%)
Will England win on 2026-06-17? No 43¢ 44¢ $250 $253 +$3 (+1%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? No 81¢ 81¢ $250 $252 +$2 (+1%)
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? Yes 44¢ 44¢ $250 $247 −$3 (-1%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 84¢ $224 $225 +$1 (+1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? No 73¢ 74¢ $214 $216 +$2 (+1%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? No 30¢ 30¢ $205 $201 −$3 (-2%)
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? No 30¢ 30¢ $157 $154 −$3 (-2%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Yes 76¢ 76¢ $150 $151 +$1 (+1%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? No 76¢ 76¢ $150 $151 +$1 (+1%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 81¢ 81¢ $150 $151 +$1 (+1%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? No 88¢ 88¢ $150 $151 +$1 (+1%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? No 81¢ 80¢ $150 $147 −$3 (-2%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? No 88¢ 88¢ $132 $133 +$1 (+1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 82¢ $125 $124 −$1 (-1%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? No 55¢ 56¢ $120 $121 +$1 (+1%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? No 87¢ 88¢ $120 $121 +$1 (+1%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? Yes 61¢ 62¢ $118 $119 +$1 (+1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? No 82¢ 82¢ $111 $112 +$1 (+1%)
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-06-14? Yes 53¢ 52¢ $99 $98 −$1 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $96 $97 +$1 (+1%)
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? No 73¢ 72¢ $91 $91 −$1 (-1%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? No 80¢ 80¢ $87 $87 +$0 (+0%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? No 80¢ 80¢ $86 $87 +$1 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $67 +$2 +3%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $270 +$4 +2%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $111 $0 -0%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $222 +$3 +1%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $500 +$175 +35%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23? Jun 13 $75 +$74 +98%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $175 +$3 +2%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $82 +$1 +1%
Will CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $9 $0 +3%
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? Jun 13 $62 +$21 +34%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? Jun 13 $136 +$1 +1%
Will England win on 2026-06-23? Jun 13 $43 +$25 +56%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? Jun 13 $34 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $85 +$2 +3%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? Jun 12 $131 +$58 +44%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 12 $120 −$4 -3%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? Jun 12 $75 +$1 +1%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? Jun 12 $154 +$2 +1%
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? Jun 12 $135 $0 +0%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? Jun 12 $28 +$18 +64%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? Jun 12 $28 $0 +1%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? Jun 12 $55 +$1 +2%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $254 −$9 -4%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $120 −$1 -1%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? Jun 12 $124 +$77 +62%
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? Jun 12 $86 $0 +0%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? Jun 12 $120 +$14 +12%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? Jun 12 $67 +$49 +73%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $120 $0 -0%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? Jun 12 $253 +$54 +21%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 12 $173 +$4 +2%
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $199 +$1 +0%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? Jun 12 $175 $0 +0%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? Jun 12 $26 +$1 +2%
United States leading at halftime? Jun 12 $179 +$2 +1%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $195 +$2 +1%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $87 $0 +0%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? Jun 12 $63 +$1 +1%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 12 $120 $0 -0%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $290 +$80 +28%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? Jun 12 $82 −$2 -3%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $84 +$1 +1%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $425 +$105 +25%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $28 $0 +1%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 12 $64 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $500 −$3 -1%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $755 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 89% +$1,270
sports 6% −$5
crypto 2% +$43
world 2% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $5 0m
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? SELL No 92¢ $9 1m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $84 2m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $5 3m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $31 3m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $51 4m
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY No 85¢ $23 5m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $5 6m
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? BUY No 45¢ $4 6m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $43 8m
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 82¢ $9 9m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24? BUY No 85¢ $37 13m
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? BUY No 89¢ $8 13m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 36¢ $43 14m
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 73¢ $21 18m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? SELL No 87¢ $1 20m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? SELL No 87¢ $84 22m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? SELL No 87¢ $3 28m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? SELL No 87¢ $11 29m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY No 85¢ $22 29m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY No 86¢ $61 29m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY No 86¢ $6 29m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY No 86¢ $7 30m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? SELL No 36¢ $0 38m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 36¢ $5 38m
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 82¢ $33 41m
Switzerland leading at halftime? SELL No 40¢ $3 47m
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? SELL No 87¢ $0 49m
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY No 88¢ $12 49m
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? SELL No 82¢ $10 49m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)+3.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 82 +14.6% +3.7% 79% 21% +0.5%
≤30d 82 +14.6% +3.7% 79% 21% +0.5%
≤90d 82 +14.6% +3.7% 79% 21% +0.5%
all 82 +14.6% +3.7% 79% 21% +0.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1271.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.7% 21% +0.5%
10% ← realistic here -6.2% 18% -9.1%
15% -15.3% 12% -17.9%
20% -23.6% 10% -25.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,067.66 · official $6,066.88 (match) · 3500 history records