trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 0% | 0% | -10.0% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -50.3% | -55.0% | 0% | 0% | -32.3% |
| all | 20 | -15.3% | -23.3% | 15% | 0% | -16.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -23.3% | 0% | -16.8% |
| 10% | -30.7% | 0% | -24.8% |
| 15% | -37.4% | 0% | -32.1% |
| 20% | -43.5% | 0% | -38.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | $36 | $36 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | Jun 06 | $84 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Apr 27 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Devils vs. Red Wings | Apr 15 | $109 | −$109 | -100% |
| Will Sepp Straka win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Mar 31 | $296 | −$2 | -0% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Mar 19 | $179 | −$179 | -100% |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 19 | $198 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Mar 16 | $39 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March? | Mar 16 | $99 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 13 | $97 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Mar 13 | $196 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 11 | $98 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 11 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 08 | $99 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Mar 08 | $197 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom | Mar 05 | $275 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Feb 27 | $297 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 24 | $590 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 19 | $296 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Feb 15 | $297 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no | Feb 13 | $296 | −$1 | -0% |