trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +49.7% | +35.4% | 60% | 60% | +83.6% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +49.7% | +35.4% | 60% | 60% | +83.6% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -38.5% | -44.3% | 21% | 16% | +59.6% |
| all | 19 | -38.5% | -44.3% | 21% | 16% | +59.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -44.3% | 16% | +59.6% |
| 10% | -49.7% | 16% | +44.3% |
| 15% | -54.5% | 16% | +30.4% |
| 20% | -59.0% | 16% | +17.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 40¢ | 99¢ | $100 | $247 | +$147 (+147%) |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Norway | 21¢ | 82¢ | $12 | $46 | +$34 (+293%) |
| Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Yes | 23¢ | 22¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: France (-3.5) | Jun 23 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Spread: France (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $20 | +$15 | +76% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 22 | $51 | +$74 | +146% |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | Jun 22 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Spread: Japan (-2.5) | Jun 22 | $30 | +$68 | +226% |
| Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 14 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 14 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 14 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? | May 14 | $1 | $0 | -21% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | May 14 | $1 | $0 | -31% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | May 14 | $1 | $0 | -14% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | May 14 | $2 | $0 | -16% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? | May 13 | $4 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 12? | May 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 12? | May 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on May 12? | May 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on May 12? | May 11 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? | May 10 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |