Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:27:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3E
0x3e5d…f957
crypto · 1319 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$268 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$500 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$500
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses554 / 776
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1330 / 1319
History coverage20d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day147.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1330 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$208
7 days−$410
14 days−$556
30 days−$500
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$8 +98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$5 +176%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$8 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$378
other 0% +$2
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 3m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $0 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $10 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 401 -13.8% -22.0% 40% 36% -28.2%
≤30d 1330 +0.9% -8.7% 42% 36% -15.6%
≤90d 1330 +0.9% -8.7% 42% 36% -15.6%
all 1330 +0.9% -8.7% 42% 36% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover147.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 36% -15.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 31% -23.6%
15% -25.4% 27% -31.0%
20% -32.7% 23% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.79 · official $2.79 (match) · 3500 history records