Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:37:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3E
0x3e51…becc
crypto · 95 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$33 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10 · open +$24
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$124
Realized+$10
Unrealized+$24
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses61 / 33
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)94 / 95
History coverage114d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day2.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 94 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$25
14 days+$25
30 days+$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Overwatch: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - OCS China Stage 2 Seeding Decider Matches JD Gaming 81¢ 100¢ $100 $124 +$24 (+24%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs Team Falcons 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Overwatch: ONSIDE Gaming vs T1 (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 1 Group Stage T1 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 PARIVISION 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Overwatch: T1 vs O2 Blast (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group Stage Jun 13 $130 +$3 +2%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $110 +$1 +1%
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? Jun 09 $10 +$1 +10%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $110 +$5 +4%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $10 $0 +4%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $100 +$6 +6%
Overwatch: Weibo Gaming vs HUNENG (BO3) - OCS China Stage 2 Group Stag Jun 07 $100 +$1 +1%
Overwatch: Crazy Raccoon vs Poker Face (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group Jun 07 $10 $0 +2%
Overwatch: ZETA DIVISION vs Cheeseburger (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Gro Jun 07 $95 +$2 +2%
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix Jun 07 $10 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $9 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $14 +$5 +36%
Overwatch: ZETA DIVISION vs Spacestation Gaming (BO2) - OCS Champions May 22 $14 +$1 +4%
Overwatch: Weibo Gaming vs Homie E (BO3) - OCS China Stage 1 Group Sta Mar 22 $14 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B Mar 22 $5 $0 +8%
Overwatch: ONSIDE Gaming vs T1 (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 1 Group Stage Mar 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Mar 16 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Mar 16 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Mar 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Mar 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Mar 09 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Mar 09 $9 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Mar 09 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Mar 09 $2 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Mar 09 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Mar 09 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Mar 09 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Mar 09 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Mar 09 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Mar 08 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Mar 08 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Mar 08 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Mar 08 $2 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Mar 08 $2 −$1 -49%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Mar 07 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Mar 07 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Mar 03 $8 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Mar 03 $11 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Mar 03 $11 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Mar 03 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Mar 03 $8 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Mar 03 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Mar 03 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Mar 03 $1 +$4 +353%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 Mar 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Mar 03 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Mar 02 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Mar 02 $7 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Mar 02 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Mar 02 $6 −$1 -16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 74% +$43
crypto 25% −$10
other 1% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Overwatch: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - OCS China Stage 2 Seeding BUY JD Gaming 81¢ $101 1h
Overwatch: T1 vs O2 Blast (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group Stage SELL T1 100¢ $133 1h
Overwatch: T1 vs O2 Blast (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group Stage BUY T1 97¢ $130 2h
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Legacy 99¢ $110 3d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY 9z 96¢ $100 4d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY 9z 95¢ $10 4d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Spirit 96¢ $10 5d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL BIG 100¢ $106 5d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 94¢ $100 5d
Overwatch: Crazy Raccoon vs Poker Face (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group SELL Crazy Raccoon 100¢ $10 5d
Overwatch: Weibo Gaming vs HUNENG (BO3) - OCS China Stage 2 Group Stag BUY Weibo Gaming 99¢ $100 5d
Overwatch: ZETA DIVISION vs Cheeseburger (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Gro SELL ZETA DIVISION 100¢ $97 6d
Overwatch: ZETA DIVISION vs Cheeseburger (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Gro BUY ZETA DIVISION 98¢ $95 6d
Overwatch: Crazy Raccoon vs Poker Face (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group BUY Crazy Raccoon 98¢ $10 6d
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix BUY Yes 99¢ $10 6d
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL MIBR 100¢ $9 6d
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY MIBR 97¢ $9 6d
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? BUY Yes 91¢ $10 6d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Spirit 99¢ $19 6d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Spirit 72¢ $14 7d
Overwatch: ZETA DIVISION vs Spacestation Gaming (BO2) - OCS Champions BUY ZETA DIVISION 96¢ $14 22d
Overwatch: Weibo Gaming vs Homie E (BO3) - OCS China Stage 1 Group Sta SELL Weibo Gaming 99¢ $14 82d
Overwatch: Weibo Gaming vs Homie E (BO3) - OCS China Stage 1 Group Sta BUY Weibo Gaming 98¢ $14 82d
Overwatch: ONSIDE Gaming vs T1 (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 1 Group Stage BUY T1 95¢ $5 83d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 90d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 94d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 94d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 95d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 95d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 95d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-19.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +6.1% -4.0% 100% 8% -6.3%
≤30d 13 +5.9% -4.1% 100% 8% -6.3%
≤90d 18 +2.4% -7.4% 89% 11% -6.8%
all 94 -11.1% -19.5% 65% 21% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.5% 21% -8.7%
10% -27.2% 16% -17.4%
15% -34.3% 6% -25.4%
20% -40.7% 2% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $123.84 · official $123.84 (match) · 255 history records