trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 31 | -6.2% | -15.1% | 48% | 45% | -7.0% |
| ≤30d | 31 | -6.2% | -15.1% | 48% | 45% | -7.0% |
| ≤90d | 31 | -6.2% | -15.1% | 48% | 45% | -7.0% |
| all | 31 | -6.2% | -15.1% | 48% | 45% | -7.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.1% | 45% | -7.0% |
| 10% | -23.2% | 35% | -15.9% |
| 15% | -30.6% | 32% | -24.0% |
| 20% | -37.4% | 26% | -31.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 81¢ | 58¢ | $426 | $307 | −$118 (-28%) |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | No | 93¢ | 91¢ | $58 | $57 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | No | 94¢ | 66¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-29%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 49¢ | 48¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 91¢ | 90¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 72¢ | 70¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 27¢ | 26¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo? | Yes | 19¢ | 16¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-13%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal to score first vs. DR Congo? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | +27% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | +11% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | +44% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $2 | +$3 | +140% |
| France to score first vs. Senegal? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | +42% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $2 | $0 | +13% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 2 Norway? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | +$3 | +307% |
| Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score | Jun 16 | $1 | +$1 | +134% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score | Jun 15 | $4 | +$4 | +97% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $109 | +$85 | +78% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $295 | −$98 | -33% |
| Uruguay to score first vs. Saudi Arabia? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| IR Iran to score first vs. New Zealand? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score | Jun 15 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $4 | +$9 | +232% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $21 | +$4 | +19% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $29 | −$29 | -99% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $15 | +$13 | +84% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $39 | +$43 | +109% |