trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 26 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 17 | $907 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $908 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 12 | $908 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 09 | $910 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 04 | $1,851 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 02 | $909 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 31 | $917 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 28 | $917 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 26 | $914 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 24 | $919 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 22 | $920 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 20 | $921 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 18 | $921 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 16 | $923 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $925 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 12 | $923 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 10 | $928 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 08 | $927 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 06 | $1,865 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 04 | $931 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 02 | $780 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 28 | $941 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee | Apr 26 | $941 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 24 | $1,886 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 20 | $944 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 16 | $945 | −$1 | -0% |