Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3E
0x3e2d…fb60
sports · 997 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,617 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,618 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$385
Realized−$1,618
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses429 / 559
Est. fees paid−$453
Open positions9
Markets (closed)988 / 997
History coverage398d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day4.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 9 History 988 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$101
7 days+$173
14 days+$232
30 days+$706
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $124 $123 −$1 (-1%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 58¢ 95¢ $38 $62 +$24 (+64%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 4.5 Corners Over 62¢ 82¢ $44 $59 +$15 (+33%)
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 4.5 Corners Over 53¢ 52¢ $53 $52 −$0 (-1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners Over 37¢ 51¢ $37 $51 +$14 (+38%)
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $16 $16 −$0 (-1%)
Will Kevin De Bruyne record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $13 $12 −$1 (-11%)
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $9 $9 +$1 (+8%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Spirit 49¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner Ilbirs eSports 38¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Execration (BO1) Execration 61¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 - Map 1 Winner G2 24¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage FOKUS 39¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner Astralis 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) Arsenal FC 54¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) Virtus.pro 13¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Spirit 30¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21? No 41¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) TheMongolz 40¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winner BC.Game Esports 19¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner L1ga Team 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner Team Spirit 26¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs ex-HEROIC - Game 1 Winner ex-HEROIC 56¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner Team Liquid 24¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $73 +$103 +140%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $55 +$65 +119%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $95 −$10 -10%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $42 +$3 +6%
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $88 −$5 -6%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $56 +$44 +77%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $75 +$45 +60%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $39 −$38 -98%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $115 −$6 -5%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $103 −$6 -6%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 5.5 Corners Jun 11 $26 −$26 -99%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 11 $40 −$40 -100%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $29 −$29 -100%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $22 −$22 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $58 +$71 +122%
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 10 $29 −$5 -16%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $42 −$42 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $70 −$70 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $52 −$52 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $40 +$60 +150%
France leading at halftime? Jun 08 $17 +$32 +191%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $61 +$39 +65%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 08 $121 +$79 +65%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $46 +$74 +162%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $65 −$64 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $99 +$107 +108%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 02 $14 −$14 -98%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $67 −$66 -99%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $50 −$24 -48%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Jun 02 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $87 +$23 +26%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $22 −$22 -100%
Dota 2: NS Club vs Stariy Bog Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A May 31 $27 +$28 +106%
Poland vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Score May 31 $38 −$37 -99%
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5) May 30 $74 +$56 +75%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $35 −$35 -100%
Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorer May 30 $11 −$11 -98%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer May 30 $27 −$26 -98%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 2 Winner May 30 $8 −$8 -98%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 30 $71 +$59 +83%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 30 $152 +$50 +33%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $45 −$44 -99%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $11 −$11 -98%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $35 +$65 +186%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $93 +$49 +52%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $38 −$38 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $58 −$45 -78%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $44 +$56 +129%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% −$1,214
other 13% −$143
crypto 0% −$160
politics 0% −$100
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners BUY Over 37¢ $38 22m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 49¢ $50 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 58¢ $39 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 4.5 Corners BUY Over 62¢ $45 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 9¢ $9 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 18¢ $11 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 18¢ $0 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 18¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 18¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 18¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 18¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 18¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 18¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 18¢ $1 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 4.5 Corners BUY Over 53¢ $54 5h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $125 6h
Will Kevin De Bruyne record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cu BUY Yes 4¢ $14 7h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $73 7h
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $58 7h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 45¢ $44 8h
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $2 9h
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $2 9h
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $2 9h
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $16 9h
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $84 11h
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 3¢ $4 11h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 41¢ $42 11h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 45¢ $55 11h
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $95 22h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 19¢ $39 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +0.4% -9.1% 41% 37% +1.0%
≤30d 184 -8.5% -17.2% 42% 41% -2.2%
≤90d 637 -10.6% -19.1% 41% 41% -13.0%
all 988 -6.4% -15.3% 43% 43% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.3% 43% -12.9%
10% -23.4% 42% -21.2%
15% -30.8% 41% -28.9%
20% -37.6% 38% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $384.68 · official $384.68 (match) · 2199 history records