Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:36:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3E
0x3e21…d939
crypto · 901 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$121 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$121 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$121
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses734 / 167
Open positions0
Markets (closed)901 / 901
History coverage12d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day97.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 901 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$25
7 days−$181
14 days−$121
30 days−$121
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 77¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$121
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $4 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 537 -9.5% -18.1% 76% 14% -15.0%
≤30d 901 -6.5% -15.4% 81% 11% -11.4%
≤90d 901 -6.5% -15.4% 81% 11% -11.4%
all 901 -6.5% -15.4% 81% 11% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover97.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.4% 11% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -23.5% 4% -19.9%
15% -30.9% 2% -27.6%
20% -37.6% 1% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.52 · official $0.00 (match) · 2024 history records