trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +4.7% | -5.3% | 33% | 33% | +22.3% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +4.7% | -5.3% | 33% | 33% | +22.3% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +4.7% | -5.3% | 33% | 33% | +22.3% |
| all | 12 | +4.7% | -5.3% | 33% | 33% | +22.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -5.3% | 33% | +22.3% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -14.4% | 33% | +10.6% |
| 15% | -22.6% | 33% | -0.1% |
| 20% | -30.2% | 33% | -9.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 91¢ | 97¢ | $8 | $8 | +$0 (+6%) |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 48¢ | 48¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 U.S. Open? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 U.S. Open? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 U.S. Open? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 U.S. Open? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 U.S. Open? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 U.S. Open? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 36¢ | 36¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 16 | $11 | +$7 | +59% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | -26% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -7% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -15% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $2 | +$2 | +81% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -18% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -14% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $3 | +$2 | +76% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -87% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -69% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $2 | +$2 | +81% |