trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 472 | -94.1% | -94.7% | 3% | 3% | -95.4% |
| ≤30d | 579 | -77.5% | -79.6% | 12% | 10% | -80.2% |
| ≤90d | 602 | -76.7% | -78.9% | 12% | 10% | -78.6% |
| all | 602 | -76.7% | -78.9% | 12% | 10% | -78.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -78.9% | 10% | -78.6% |
| 10% | -81.0% | 10% | -80.7% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -82.8% | 10% | -82.6% |
| 20% | -84.5% | 10% | -84.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $1,015 | $820 | −$195 (-19%) |
| Spread: Montreal Alouettes (-8.5) | Montreal Alouettes | 51¢ | 52¢ | $59 | $61 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Jonathan David: 1+ goals | Yes | 35¢ | 36¢ | $13 | $13 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Wings vs. Senators | Jun 28 | $5,102 | −$5,102 | -100% |
| Spread: Capitals (-1.5) | Jun 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Hurricanes vs. Kings | Jun 28 | $1,720 | −$1,720 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Raptors | Jun 28 | $1,795 | −$1,795 | -100% |
| Falcons vs. Saints | Jun 28 | $938 | −$938 | -100% |
| New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs | Jun 28 | $391 | −$391 | -100% |
| Sabres vs. Jets | Jun 28 | $3,418 | −$3,418 | -100% |
| Oilers vs. Islanders | Jun 28 | $5,916 | −$5,916 | -100% |
| Red Sox vs. Orioles | Jun 28 | $2,190 | −$2,190 | -100% |
| Derrick Henry: 2+ Touchdowns | Jun 28 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Avalanche vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5 | Jun 28 | $1,881 | −$1,881 | -100% |
| Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights | Jun 28 | $2,520 | −$2,520 | -100% |
| Blues vs. Sabres | Jun 28 | $5,866 | −$5,866 | -100% |
| Devils vs. Stars | Jun 28 | $1,200 | −$1,200 | -100% |
| Giants vs. Mets | Jun 28 | $660 | −$660 | -100% |
| Spread: Lightning (-1.5) | Jun 28 | $5,054 | −$5,054 | -100% |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Jun 28 | $6,789 | −$6,789 | -100% |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs | Jun 28 | $3,645 | −$3,645 | -100% |
| Yankees vs. Twins | Jun 28 | $146 | −$146 | -100% |
| Commanders vs. Vikings | Jun 28 | $4,708 | −$4,708 | -100% |
| Blues vs. Jets: O/U 5.5 | Jun 28 | $2,080 | −$2,080 | -100% |
| Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 40.5 | Jun 28 | $137 | −$137 | -100% |
| Spread: Seahawks (-10.5) | Jun 28 | $1,015 | −$1,015 | -100% |
| Penguins vs. Kings | Jun 28 | $3,620 | −$3,620 | -100% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes | Jun 28 | $2,640 | −$2,640 | -100% |
| Angels vs. Rangers | Jun 28 | $947 | −$947 | -100% |
| Ducks vs. Wild | Jun 28 | $8,550 | −$8,550 | -100% |
| Sabres vs. Devils | Jun 28 | $5,026 | −$4,938 | -98% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Devils | Jun 28 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Jun 28 | $490 | −$490 | -100% |
| Spread: Canadiens (-1.5) | Jun 28 | $401 | −$401 | -100% |
| Predators vs. Kraken | Jun 28 | $47 | −$47 | -100% |
| Devils vs. Hurricanes | Jun 28 | $3,420 | −$3,420 | -100% |
| Stars vs. Blues | Jun 28 | $1,387 | −$1,387 | -100% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime Touchdown | Jun 28 | $2,950 | −$2,950 | -100% |
| Pirates vs. Orioles | Jun 28 | $406 | −$406 | -100% |
| Kraken vs. Hurricanes | Jun 28 | $2,470 | −$2,470 | -100% |
| Spread: Canadiens (-1.5) | Jun 28 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Blues vs. Panthers | Jun 28 | $3,660 | −$3,660 | -100% |
| Lightning vs. Hurricanes | Jun 28 | $2,100 | −$2,100 | -100% |
| Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women's Australian Open? | Jun 28 | $1,015 | −$1,015 | -100% |
| Flames vs. Ducks | Jun 28 | $2,700 | −$2,700 | -100% |
| Rangers vs. Flames | Jun 28 | $5,646 | −$5,646 | -100% |
| Wild vs. Devils | Jun 28 | $3,016 | −$3,016 | -100% |
| Spread: Oregon State (-23.5) | Jun 28 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Sharks vs. Canucks | Jun 28 | $3,998 | −$3,992 | -100% |
| Hurricanes vs. Sabres | Jun 28 | $539 | −$539 | -100% |
| Canucks vs. Wild | Jun 28 | $1,104 | −$1,104 | -100% |
| Dodgers vs. Angels | Jun 28 | $3,432 | −$3,432 | -100% |
| Athletics vs. Rangers | Jun 28 | $259 | −$259 | -100% |