trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -18.1% | -25.9% | 31% | 31% | -19.0% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -16.6% | -24.5% | 40% | 25% | -20.0% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -16.6% | -24.5% | 40% | 25% | -20.0% |
| all | 20 | -16.6% | -24.5% | 40% | 25% | -20.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.5% | 25% | -20.0% |
| 10% | -31.7% | 25% | -27.7% |
| 15% | -38.3% | 25% | -34.6% |
| 20% | -44.4% | 25% | -41.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 11¢ | $22 | $31 | +$9 (+42%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 11¢ | $14 | $16 | +$2 (+15%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 57¢ | 78¢ | $10 | $13 | +$4 (+38%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 7¢ | $14 | $13 | −$2 (-11%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $15 | $12 | −$3 (-18%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+11%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 9¢ | $13 | $10 | −$3 (-25%) |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 72¢ | 70¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 21¢ | 20¢ | $9 | $9 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $9 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$9 | +93% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$22 | +226% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$9 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 14 | $19 | +$20 | +103% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$11 | +57% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $19 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | May 24 | $2 | +$3 | +194% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | May 24 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | May 24 | $5 | $0 | +3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | May 24 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | May 24 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | May 24 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |