Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:58:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3df0…7eb8
crypto · 1660 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,237 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,240 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized−$1,240
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses791 / 989
Est. fees paid−$15
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1780 / 1660
History coverage121d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day19.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 1780 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,100
7 days−$938
14 days−$881
30 days−$776
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+31%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 Over 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Wizards vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21? Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Will Adelaide United FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 63% −$231
sports 35% +$120
other 1% +$46
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $5 51m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 46¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 4h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 73¢ $15 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $5 4h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 56¢ $5 5h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 3.5 Corners BUY Over 43¢ $5 5h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $5 5h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 11h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 20h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 20h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 20h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 21h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $2 22h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $2 22h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 46¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $2 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 258 -64.2% -67.6% 17% 17% -58.5%
≤30d 353 -41.5% -47.0% 29% 28% -34.7%
≤90d 779 -21.6% -29.0% 39% 37% -23.6%
all 1780 -11.4% -19.8% 44% 42% -17.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.8% 42% -17.5%
10% -27.5% 41% -25.4%
15% -34.5% 41% -32.6%
20% -40.9% 40% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.05 · official $18.05 (match) · 3500 history records