Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:34:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3dea…7b7b
crypto · 1152 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$59 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$80 · open −$21
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$208
Realized+$80
Unrealized−$21
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses692 / 468
Open positions8
Markets (closed)1160 / 1152
Avg bet$7
Trades / day711.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 8 History 1160 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$34
7 days+$80
14 days+$80
30 days+$80
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 84¢ 100¢ $43 $51 +$8 (+19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $19 $25 +$6 (+31%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 80¢ 100¢ $16 $20 +$4 (+25%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $8 $17 +$9 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 72¢ 80¢ $14 $16 +$2 (+11%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 82¢ 100¢ $12 $15 +$3 (+22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 38¢ 100¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+163%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$3 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$3 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 68¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+47%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$2 (+43%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 73¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 74¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+35%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 71¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 76¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 59¢ 96¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+64%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 78¢ 78¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 73¢ 66¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-10%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+23%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 8AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 8AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -148%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 4, 6AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -1122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 7AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$3 +5440%
XRP Up or Down - January 2, 11AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$9 +16433%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$8 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$6 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$4 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +104%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +156%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$53
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 25m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-5.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1160 +4.8% -5.2% 60% 58% -8.7%
≤30d 1160 +4.8% -5.2% 60% 58% -8.7%
≤90d 1160 +4.8% -5.2% 60% 58% -8.7%
all 1160 +4.8% -5.2% 60% 58% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover711.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.2% 58% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -14.3% 52% -17.5%
15% -22.6% 37% -25.4%
20% -30.2% 23% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $208.16 · official $198.97 · 3500 history records