Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T15:00:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
3D 0x3de4…5849 crypto 895 markets active 2h ago coverage 38d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 37d only
✗ bot/MM pace (70 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$2,108 (+17%) realized +$2,108 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate57%509W / 386L
Drawdown55%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day69.8pace
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$122
7 days+$122
14 days+$116
30 days+$84
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 94% +$312
other 5% +$125
weather 0% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (70 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +14.1% +3.2% 88% 50% +10.1%
≤30d 527 -4.3% -13.4% 56% 50% -8.4%
≤90d 895 -3.0% -12.2% 57% 50% -6.4%
all 895 -3.0% -12.2% 57% 50% -6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover69.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 50% -6.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 43% -15.3%
15% -28.3% 33% -23.5%
20% -35.3% 22% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
10% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt +4% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$9 · ×0.85 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.12 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

38d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,108
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses509 / 386
Open positions0
Markets (closed)895 / 895
History coverage38d ⚠
Avg bet$14
Trades / day69.8
Drawdown55%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 895 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 23 $108 +$29 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 23 $12 −$3 -26%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 23 $8 +$1 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 23 $145 +$14 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 23 $26 +$6 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 23 $49 +$4 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 23 $149 +$55 +36%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 23 $66 +$16 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$7 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$5 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$5 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$6 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$6 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$8 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $23 +$5 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $17 +$12 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$4 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$5 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $57 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $145 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records