Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:57:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3de2…d073
other · 477 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$237 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$72 · open +$69
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$627
Realized+$72
Unrealized+$69
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses106 / 153
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions444
Markets (closed)259 / 477
History coverage3d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day1040.0
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 444 History 259 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$73
7 days+$72
14 days+$72
30 days+$72
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Tampa Bay Rays 1¢ 33¢ $1 $17 +$16 (+2747%)
Will Pierre Gasly get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? Yes 5¢ 34¢ $2 $16 +$14 (+615%)
Will Gabriel Bortoleto get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 16¢ $2 $9 +$7 (+325%)
Will Nico Hulkenberg get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? Yes 3¢ 15¢ $2 $9 +$7 (+400%)
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by June 30? Yes 19¢ 30¢ $4 $7 +$2 (+57%)
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? No 54¢ 72¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+32%)
Will Gabriel Bortoleto achieve the fastest lap in Practice 2 at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? Yes 3¢ 10¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+250%)
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap in Practice 3 at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? Yes 7¢ 42¢ $1 $5 +$5 (+500%)
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes 57¢ 60¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) Liaoning Tieren FC 10¢ 24¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+140%)
Exact Score: CD Ñublense 3 - 0 CD Huachipato? Yes 7¢ 49¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+594%)
Will Turkiye reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 50¢ 48¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Bahcesehir Koleji vs. Besiktas Besiktas 74¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$1 (+34%)
Nanterre vs. Monaco Monaco 51¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$2 (+96%)
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 7¢ 7¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by December 31? Yes 52¢ 58¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+12%)
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? No 70¢ 73¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+4%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals 35¢ 36¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+3%)
Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 Over 52¢ 58¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+11%)
Norway leading at halftime? No 62¢ 62¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? Yes 49¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+104%)
Will Netherlands score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-0%)
Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 5¢ 4¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-19%)
Will Vitality drop from #1 in the VRS rankings by June 30? Yes 36¢ 100¢ $1 $4 +$3 (+177%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bahcesehir Koleji vs. Besiktas Jun 14 $3 +$2 +54%
Nanterre vs. Monaco Jun 14 $2 +$5 +192%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? Jun 14 $2 +$3 +150%
Tyler: Henry Searle vs Karl Poling Jun 14 $1 +$2 +222%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 14 $2 +$2 +126%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June? Jun 14 $2 +$1 +67%
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? Jun 14 $2 +$1 +48%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 10? Jun 14 $1 +$2 +318%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 14 $1 +$1 +82%
KBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landers Jun 14 $2 +$1 +70%
Rocha vs. Bertola: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $1 +$6 +1219%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $1 +$1 +117%
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Jun 14 $0 +$6 +6465%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 14 $0 +$2 +525%
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kia Tigers Jun 14 $1 +$2 +242%
Test Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan - Match goes to Jun 14 $0 +$2 +1116%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Jun 14 $1 +$1 +101%
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap in Practice 3 at the 2026 Jun 14 $0 +$13 +12634%
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins Jun 14 $1 $0 +82%
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Doosan Bears Jun 14 $0 −$1 -432%
MLP St. Louis: Brooklyn Pickleball Team vs Utah Black Diamonds Jun 14 $0 +$3 +1615%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Lotte Giants Jun 14 $0 −$2 -1404%
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? Jun 14 $0 $0 +809%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs EVOS (BO5) - MPL Ind Jun 14 $0 $0 +251%
ITF Lakewood: Oliver Ojakaar vs Kenta Miyoshi Jun 14 $0 $0 -335%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Lancashire Jun 14 $0 $0 +271%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in June? Jun 14 $0 $0 +56%
KBO: LG Twins vs. NC Dinos Jun 14 $0 +$1 +2635%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Jun 14 $0 +$1 +787%
Will Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 14 $0 +$4 +5637%
Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 14 $0 −$1 -1217%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 14 $0 −$1 -791%
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? Jun 14 $0 $0 -158%
Bahcesehir Koleji vs. Besiktas Jun 14 $0 $0 -463%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 14 $0 −$1 -577%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 14 $0 $0 +556%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 14 $0 $0 -383%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 14 $0 $0 +251%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 14 $0 $0 +281%
Cholet vs. Paris Basketball Jun 14 $0 $0 +211%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 14 $0 $0 -300%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 14 $0 $0 +82%
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 3 - 3 CR Brasil? Jun 14 $0 $0 +1060%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 14 $0 $0 +171%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 14 $0 $0 +206%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 14 $0 +$1 +527%
ITF Lakewood: Iiro Vasa vs Ozan Baris Jun 14 $0 $0 -130%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 in June? Jun 14 $0 −$1 -575%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 14 $0 +$1 +639%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Jun 14 $15 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 62% +$82
world 13% $0
sports 9% +$6
politics 7% −$3
crypto 3% +$4
tech 3% −$7
finance 2% −$1
economics 1% $0
culture 0% $0
weather 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 7¢ $1 0m
New pandemic in 2026? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 1m
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? SELL Yes 41¢ $5 8m
Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 35¢ $1 10m
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 47¢ $4 10m
Will Uzbekistan win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 11m
Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 35¢ $2 13m
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June? SELL Yes 19¢ $1 14m
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June? SELL Yes 18¢ $2 14m
Will Uzbekistan win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 18m
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 45¢ $3 22m
Will Ecuador reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 7¢ $3 23m
Will Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 27m
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, BUY Ion Cutelaba 28¢ $2 28m
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? SELL Yes 7¢ $1 32m
Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup BUY No 5¢ $5 33m
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? BUY Yes 7¢ $0 33m
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? BUY Yes 7¢ $2 34m
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 34m
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 31¢ $3 34m
Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup BUY No 5¢ $0 41m
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? BUY Yes 41¢ $5 44m
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 24¢ $2 45m
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 5.5 SELL Over 12¢ $1 47m
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 5.5 SELL Over 6¢ $0 47m
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 46¢ $4 49m
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 52m
Will Phoenix Mercury win the 2026 WNBA Finals? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 55m
Will Phoenix Mercury win the 2026 WNBA Finals? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 55m
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? SELL Yes 7¢ $2 58m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)+64.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 259 +82.2% +64.9% 41% 29% -2.6%
≤30d 259 +82.2% +64.9% 41% 29% -2.6%
≤90d 259 +82.2% +64.9% 41% 29% -2.6%
all 259 +82.2% +64.9% 41% 29% -2.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1040.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +64.9% 29% -2.6%
10% ← realistic here +49.1% 25% -11.9%
15% +34.7% 24% -20.4%
20% +21.5% 21% -28.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $627.15 · official $618.58 · 3500 history records