Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:31:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3db5…7094
crypto · 45 markets active 2h ago
4.5score
+$1,805 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,805 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,032
Realized+$1,805
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses14 / 29
Whale WR (big bets)36%
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions2
Markets (closed)43 / 45
History coverage523d
Avg bet$755
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown77%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 2 History 43 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days+$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $663 $663 −$0 (-0%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $369 $369 −$0 (-0%)
Golden Knights vs. Senators Golden Knights 56¢ 0¢ $1,005 $0 −$1,005 (-100%)
Blue Jackets vs. Devils Devils 50¢ 0¢ $982 $0 −$982 (-100%)
Will XRP reach $6.00 in October? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Rangers vs. Red Wings Red Wings 50¢ 0¢ $1,032 $0 −$1,032 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Knicks Knicks 39¢ 0¢ $921 $0 −$921 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? May 27 $1,006 +$25 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? Apr 19 $1,919 −$2 -0%
Oilers vs. Sharks Apr 19 $1,017 +$902 +89%
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? Mar 19 $1,018 −$1 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 12 $1,019 −$1 -0%
Thunder vs. Knicks Mar 04 $921 −$921 -100%
Blue Jackets vs. Devils Feb 03 $982 −$982 -100%
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? Feb 03 $1,005 −$1 -0%
Golden Knights vs. Senators Jan 25 $1,005 −$1,005 -100%
Spurs vs. Celtics Jan 25 $1,005 +$928 +92%
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair? Jan 10 $1,005 −$1 -0%
Mavericks vs. Kings Jan 10 $716 +$989 +138%
North Texas vs. Tulane Dec 26 $835 +$1,021 +122%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? Dec 04 $1,007 −$1 -0%
Nuggets vs. Rockets Dec 04 $795 +$1,012 +127%
Rangers vs. Red Wings Nov 07 $1,032 −$1,032 -100%
Blackhawks vs. Canucks Nov 07 $713 +$1,026 +144%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? Oct 30 $17 −$17 -100%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? Oct 30 $1,072 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 18? Oct 19 $1,006 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102,000 on October 18? Oct 19 $28 −$28 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on September 29? Oct 18 $1 $0 +28%
Will XRP reach $6.00 in October? Oct 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? Aug 21 $17 $0 -1%
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? Jul 31 $27 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2 PM ET Jul 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? Jun 05 $56 −$9 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13? Jun 05 $51 −$51 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down on April 24? May 12 $47 +$53 +113%
Ethereum Up or Down on April 11? Apr 24 $1 $0 +18%
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025? Apr 11 $26 −$1 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down on March 25? Apr 11 $1 $0 +30%
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? Mar 25 $32 $0 -1%
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb Mar 4-10? Mar 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP? Mar 09 $26 $0 -1%
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025? Mar 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? Feb 08 $26 $0 -2%
Ethereum all time high by January 31? Feb 08 $2 $0 +1%
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days? Jan 21 $16 $0 -2%
Will Pam Bondi be Trump's Attorney General? Jan 21 $66 $0 -0%
Dogecoin above $0.36 on January 10? Jan 21 $86 −$86 -100%
Will Biden finish his term? Jan 06 $6,659 −$7 -0%
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? Jan 06 $6,665 −$7 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 40% −$14
sports 30% +$1,935
crypto 17% −$98
economics 6% −$14
other 3% −$3
world 3% −$1
finance 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June? BUY No 100¢ $369 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? BUY No 100¢ $664 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? SELL No 100¢ $1,031 17d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? BUY No 97¢ $1,006 34d
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? SELL No 100¢ $1,917 55d
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? BUY No 100¢ $1,919 55d
Oilers vs. Sharks BUY Oilers 53¢ $1,017 66d
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL No 99¢ $1,017 86d
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 99¢ $1,018 86d
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $1,018 93d
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $1,019 93d
Thunder vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 39¢ $921 101d
Blue Jackets vs. Devils BUY Devils 50¢ $982 130d
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $1,004 130d
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $1,005 130d
Golden Knights vs. Senators BUY Golden Knights 56¢ $1,005 139d
Spurs vs. Celtics BUY Spurs 52¢ $1,005 154d
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair? SELL No 100¢ $1,004 154d
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair? BUY No 100¢ $1,005 154d
Mavericks vs. Kings BUY Kings 42¢ $716 168d
North Texas vs. Tulane BUY Tulane 45¢ $835 191d
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? SELL No 100¢ $1,006 191d
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? BUY No 100¢ $1,007 191d
Nuggets vs. Rockets BUY Nuggets 44¢ $795 204d
Rangers vs. Red Wings BUY Red Wings 50¢ $1,032 218d
Blackhawks vs. Canucks BUY Blackhawks 41¢ $713 220d
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? BUY No 2¢ $17 227d
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? BUY No 100¢ $1,016 227d
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102,000 on October 18? BUY Yes 3¢ $28 238d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,006 238d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-16.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 1 +2.5% -7.3% 100% 0% -7.3%
≤90d 4 +22.7% +11.0% 50% 25% +7.3%
all 43 -7.5% -16.3% 33% 23% -4.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.3% 23% -4.6%
10% -24.3% 21% -13.7%
15% -31.6% 16% -22.0%
20% -38.3% 16% -29.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,032.08 · official $1,032.08 (match) · 86 history records