Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:09:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3db2…f119
crypto · 114 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$263 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$342 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$342
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses41 / 73
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions0
Markets (closed)114 / 114
History coverage8d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day29.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 114 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$364
7 days−$341
14 days−$342
30 days−$342
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 48¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $204 $0 −$204 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET Jun 14 $63 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET Jun 14 $66 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $114 +$181 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $214 −$204 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$8 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$21 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$20 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$17 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$50 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$23 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$39 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$40 -96%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $35 −$35 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $66 +$64 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$15 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$13 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$11 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$36 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$30 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 69% −$667
sports 29% +$280
other 3% +$46
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $72 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $31 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $31 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 100¢ $295 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 38¢ $114 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $11 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $21 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $52 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $52 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $26 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-27.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 113 -19.3% -27.0% 36% 35% -19.5%
≤30d 114 -20.0% -27.6% 36% 35% -19.5%
≤90d 114 -20.0% -27.6% 36% 35% -19.5%
all 114 -20.0% -27.6% 36% 35% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.6% 35% -19.5%
10% ← realistic here -34.6% 35% -27.2%
15% -40.9% 35% -34.2%
20% -46.7% 33% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 283 history records