Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:02:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3db1…80fe
crypto · 3 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$23 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$237 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$237
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$68
Trades / day18.0
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$237
7 days+$237
14 days+$237
30 days+$237
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $118 +$179 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -96%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $61 +$83 +137%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 70% +$154
sports 30% +$83
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+47.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +63.1% +47.5% 67% 67% +96.0%
≤30d 3 +63.1% +47.5% 67% 67% +96.0%
≤90d 3 +63.1% +47.5% 67% 67% +96.0%
all 3 +63.1% +47.5% 67% 67% +96.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +47.5% 67% +96.0%
10% +33.4% 67% +77.2%
15% +20.5% 67% +60.1%
20% +8.7% 67% +44.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 20 history records