Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:07:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3d86…f16d
crypto · 30 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$7 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$28
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)11%
Wins / losses3 / 25
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)28 / 30
History coverage3d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day67.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 28 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$28
7 days−$28
14 days−$28
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? Yes 3¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-59%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? Yes 6¢ 2¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-74%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 11? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? Jun 12 $1 $0 -15%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $4 −$1 -30%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -25%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? Jun 12 $1 $0 -29%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $5 −$4 -68%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $4 −$3 -71%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $24 $0 -2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $4 −$4 -86%
Will Devin Vassell lead the 2026 NBA Finals in 3-pointers made? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
NBA Finals: Wemby to Break Single-Game Finals Blocks Record? Jun 11 $17 −$4 -24%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 11 $23 −$10 -41%
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$14 +643%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 11 $13 −$4 -32%
NBA Finals: Player to Record a 5x5? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -56%
NBA Finals: Any Player to Record a Triple-Double? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -68%
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 11 $3 −$1 -19%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 -12%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $5 −$1 -20%
Will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 NBA Finals be by 25 or more p Jun 11 $3 −$1 -42%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -55%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 11 $6 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +114%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 11 $1 $0 -13%
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +40%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 11 $6 −$1 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 79% −$16
sports 21% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $2 7m
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $2 8m
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $2 9m
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $2 10m
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $2 12m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $2 23m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $2 26m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $2 29m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $2 32m
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $2 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $2 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $2 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $2 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $2 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $2 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $2 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $2 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $2 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $2 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $2 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $2 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 2h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $1 2h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $1 2h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $1 2h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $1 2h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $1 2h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $1 2h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-19.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -11.1% -19.5% 11% 11% -29.4%
≤30d 28 -11.1% -19.5% 11% 11% -29.4%
≤90d 28 -11.1% -19.5% 11% 11% -29.4%
all 28 -11.1% -19.5% 11% 11% -29.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover67.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.5% 11% -29.4%
10% ← realistic here -27.2% 11% -36.2%
15% -34.3% 11% -42.3%
20% -40.7% 7% -48.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.39 · official $0.39 (match) · 212 history records